Match Info

Date: 16 November 2020, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Boa Esporte		EC São José Porto Alegre

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.75	3
	2.5	2.6	3.25
	2.5	2.55	3.15
	2.7	2.55	3.39
	2.4	2.8	3.1
	2.83	2.26	3.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.43)	2.59 ↓ (3.15)	3.18 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boa Esporte
35.8%

Draw
35.4%

EC São José Porto Alegre
28.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.1%

28.6%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

23.1%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boa Esporte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EC São José Porto Alegre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boa Esporte than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boa Esporte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EC São José Porto Alegre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.6%	57.7%	7.7%

Boa Esporte - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Boa will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%). EC São José will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 57.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.7% – 76.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation to Serie D and 8).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Boa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Boa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Boa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boa Esporte
Brazilian Serie C
09.11.20	Brusque - Boa Esporte	2:2 ✺
01.11.20	Boa Esporte - Londrina	0:0 ✺
25.10.20	Ypiranga - Boa Esporte	2:1 ✺
18.10.20	Boa Esporte - Criciúma	2:0 ✺
10.10.20	Volta Redonda - Boa Esporte	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TTLWT
- EC São José Porto Alegre
Brazilian Serie C
07.11.20	EC São José Porto Alegre - Ituano	0:1 ✺
01.11.20	Volta Redonda - EC São José Porto Alegre	3:4 ✺
25.10.20	Brusque - EC São José Porto Alegre	0:0 ✺
19.10.20	EC São José Porto Alegre - Tombense	2:2 ✺
15.10.20	São Bento - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
12.09.20	EC São José Porto Alegre - Boa Esporte	0:0
11.08.19	Boa Esporte - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:2
08.06.19	EC São José Porto Alegre - Boa Esporte	2:0

Boa Esporte - EC São José Porto Alegre