Match Info

Date: 1 November 2020, Sunday


	Boa Esporte		Londrina

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.85	2.9
	2.4	3	2.8
	2.44	2.8	2.9
	2.61	2.84	3.1
	2.5	2.8	2.9
	2.45	3.02	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.88)	2.89 ↓ (2.98)	2.92 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boa Esporte
37%

Draw
31.7%

Londrina
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

31%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

22.2%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boa Esporte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Londrina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boa Esporte than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boa Esporte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+20.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Londrina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Boa Esporte - Londrina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation to Serie D and 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C (Play Offs)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Boa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boa Esporte
Brazilian Serie C
25.10.20	Ypiranga - Boa Esporte	2:1 ✺
18.10.20	Boa Esporte - Criciúma	2:0 ✺
10.10.20	Volta Redonda - Boa Esporte	0:0 ✺
04.10.20	Boa Esporte - Tombense	1:1 ✺
26.09.20	São Bento - Boa Esporte	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWTTT
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie C
25.10.20	Londrina - Ituano	1:0 ✺
18.10.20	Londrina - Ypiranga	3:2 ✺
11.10.20	Criciúma - Londrina	2:1 ✺
04.10.20	Londrina - Volta Redonda	1:0 ✺
01.10.20	Brusque - Londrina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
30.08.20	Londrina - Boa Esporte	2:0
Brazilian Serie B
10.08.18	Boa Esporte - Londrina	1:0
14.04.18	Londrina - Boa Esporte	1:0
04.11.17	Boa Esporte - Londrina	0:1
15.07.17	Londrina - Boa Esporte	2:2

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