Match Info

Date: 19 October 2020, Monday


	EC São José Porto Alegre		Tombense

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.7
	1.9	3	4
	2.01	2.9	3.8
	2.02	3.03	4.19
	2	2.88	3.9
	1.93	3.07	3.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.27)	3.01 ↑ (3)	3.9 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC São José Porto Alegre
46.4%

Draw
30.2%

Tombense
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

30%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

21.5%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC São José Porto Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in EC São José Porto Alegre's performance.

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tombense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with EC São José Porto Alegre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tombense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

EC São José Porto Alegre - Tombense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 and 7).

EC São José Porto Alegre is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tombense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tombense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

EC São José Porto Alegre will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches EC São José Porto Alegre won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams EC São José Porto Alegre won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São José Porto Alegre
Brazilian Serie C
15.10.20	São Bento - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:0 ✺
03.10.20	EC São José Porto Alegre - Ypiranga	2:0 ✺
25.09.20	Criciúma - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:0 ✺
17.09.20	Londrina - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:0 ✺
12.09.20	EC São José Porto Alegre - Boa Esporte	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLT
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie C
10.10.20	Tombense - Ituano	0:0 ✺
04.10.20	Boa Esporte - Tombense	1:1 ✺
30.09.20	Tombense - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
27.09.20	Tombense - Londrina	2:1 ✺
20.09.20	Brusque - Tombense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
15.08.20	Tombense - EC São José Porto Alegre	4:0
29.06.19	EC São José Porto Alegre - Tombense	2:0
27.04.19	Tombense - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1

EC São José Porto Alegre - Tombense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide