Match Info

Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 2

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Elcyr Resende de Mendonca (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Globoplay, Premiere


	Boavista		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	4.65	3.25	1.78
	5.13	3.32	1.74
	4.33	3.2	1.73
	5.21	2.99	1.75
	4.75	3.5	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↓ (5.52)	3.25 ↓ (3.38)	1.75 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boavista
19.1%

Draw
28.3%

Fluminense
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

27.4%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Boavista - Fluminense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Maticoli (G) 2. Cesinha 3. Gabriel Caran 4. Guilherme Lacerda 6. Titto 8. Emanuel Jesus 5. Ryan Couto 11. Fellipinho 10. Isael (C) 7. Bere 9. Brunao	98. Vitor Eudes (G) 46. Julio Fidelis 21. Igor Rabello 3. Jemmes 13. Guilherme Arana 28. Riquelme Felipe 55. Wallace Davi 94. Otavio (C) 15. Matheus Reis 19. Lezcano R. 99. John Kennedy
Substitutes
14. Andre Fausto 13. Bruno Jesus 15. Fernando 20. Gabriel Richvicki 21. Igor Franca 16. Kadu 22. Khawhan 18. Marcus Vinicius 12. Matheus (G) 17. Misael Xavier 19. Pedro Cantarin	43. Agner 91. Davi Melo 40. Davi Schuindt 18. Lele 66. Leo Jance 41. Loiola J. 50. Lucas 47. Luis Fernando 27. Marcelo Pitaluga (G) 56. Miguel Sampaio 58. Naara 34. Wesley Nata
Coaches
Gilson Kleina	Zubeldia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Wallace Davi 🟨,
45', John Kennedy ↓, Lele ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Gabriel Caran ⚽, Isael (A),
55', Ryan Couto 🟨,
58', Ryan Couto ↓, Fernando ↑,
63', Wallace Davi ↓, Agner ↑,
64', Lezcano R. ↓, Wesley Nata ↑,
71', Isael ↓, Gabriel Richvicki ↑,
71', Tito ↓, Marcus Vinicius ↑,
80', Cesinha 🟨,
81', Fellipinho ↓, Khawhan ↑,
81', Bere ↓, Bruno Jesus ↑,
82', Gabriel Richvicki 🟨,
82', Guilherme Arana ↓, Leo Jance ↑,
82', Otavio ↓, Davi Melo ↑,
85', Davi Melo 🟨,
90+1', Jemmes 🟨,
90+5', Matheus Reis 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boavista won 0.

Fluminense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Fluminense is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Boavista won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:22. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Boavista won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.7:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boavista SC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
14.01.26	Volta Redonda - Boavista	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
13.08.25	Boavista - Cabofriense	1:2 ✺
30.07.25	Cabofriense - Boavista	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
26.07.25	Portuguesa - Boavista	3:0 ✺
19.07.25	Boavista - Rio Branco AC ES	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
14.01.26	Fluminense - Madureira	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
14.12.25	Fluminense - Vasco da Gama	1:1 penalties ✺
11.12.25	Vasco da Gama - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Fluminense - Bahia	2:0 ✺
02.12.25	Grêmio - Fluminense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
02.02.25	Fluminense - Boavista	1:1
04.02.24	Boavista - Fluminense	2:2
26.01.23	Fluminense - Boavista	1:1
12.03.22	Boavista - Fluminense	0:0
23.03.21	Boavista - Fluminense	0:2
01.02.20	Fluminense - Boavista	0:1
14.03.19	Boavista - Fluminense	0:3

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