Match Info

Serie D - Round 14

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio do Caninde (Sao Paulo)


	Portuguesa		Boavista

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.6	7.75
	1.27	4.65	9.4
	1.3	4.6	11.09
	1.35	4.25	8.70	Watch
	1.24	4.9	11.2
	1.36	4.42	6.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.37)	4.57 ↑ (4.5)	9.07 ↑ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa
70%

Draw
20%

Boavista
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

20%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

19%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Portuguesa - Boavista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Cristiano ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Cristiano (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 3 - 0, Denis ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8).

Portuguesa is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Portuguesa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Boavista is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Portuguesa is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Portuguesa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Portuguesa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Serie D
19.07.25	Maricá - Portuguesa	0:1 ✺
12.07.25	Portuguesa - Água Santa	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Portuguesa	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	Portuguesa - Porto Vitória	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Pouso Alegre - Portuguesa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTWL
- Boavista SC
Brazilian Serie D
19.07.25	Boavista - Rio Branco AC ES	0:2 ✺
12.07.25	Pouso Alegre - Boavista	2:0 ✺
05.07.25	Maricá - Boavista	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Boavista - Nova Iguaçu	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Água Santa - Boavista	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
19.04.25	Boavista - Portuguesa	2:2
24.07.21	Boavista - Portuguesa	0:1
17.07.21	Portuguesa - Boavista	3:0
Copa do Brasil
22.02.17	Portuguesa - Boavista	0:2

Portuguesa - Boavista: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide