Match Info

Carioca U20 - Taca Guanabara - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Boavista SC U20		Sampaio Corrêa FE U20

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.35	3.55
	1.92	3.63	3.52
	1.76	3.8	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.79)	3.59 ↓ (3.8)	3.56 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boavista SC U20
49.2%

Draw
25.3%

Sampaio Corrêa FE U20
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

23.9%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

23%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boavista SC U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista SC U20 than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Boavista SC U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 2 - 1, ⚽,
72', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 9).

Boavista SC U20 has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Sampaio Corrêa U20 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sampaio Corrêa U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Boavista SC U20 is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Boavista SC U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Boavista SC U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boavista SC U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
06.09.25	Boavista SC U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Boavista SC U20	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Boavista SC U20 - Fluminense U20	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Nova Iguaçu U20 - Boavista SC U20	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Boavista SC U20 - Bangu U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLT
- Sampaio Corrêa FE U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
06.09.25	Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 - Maricá U20	0:0 ✺
28.08.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 - Portuguesa RJ U20	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	4:1 ✺
09.08.25	Sampaio Corrêa FE U20 - Volta Redonda U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca U20
06.07.24	Boavista SC U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	1:0

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