Match Info

Copa Argentina - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 July 2025, Wednesday


	Boca Juniors		Atlético Tucumán

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	3.1	5.5
	1.72	3.35	5.15	Watch
	1.72	3.42	5.35
	1.70	3.37	5.38	Watch
	1.67	3.25	5.8
	1.6	3.55	5.77	Watch
	1.57	3.58	6.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.6)	3.37 ↓ (3.53)	5.57 ↓ (5.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
55.9%

Draw
27.5%

Atlético Tucumán
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

26.2%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

28.5%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boca Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Boca Juniors - Atlético Tucumán Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Atlético Tucumán (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Boca Juniors (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Boca Juniors will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 4 - 80%). Atlético Tucumán (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Marchesin A. (G) 24. Barinaga J. 29. Battaglia R. 26. Pellegrino M. 18. Fabra F. 27. Braida M. 15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 5. Paredes L. 20. Velasco A. 10. Cavani E. 16. Miguel Merentiel	1. Mansilla M. (G) 3. Villa M. 26. Ferreira Namandu C. D. 13. Ortiz M. 33. Brizuela M. 21. Galvan I. 5. Sanchez A. 45. Ortiz K. 24. Godoy L. 11. Coronel M. 27. Diaz L.
Substitutes
17. Advincula L. 33. Aguirre B. 30. Belmonte T. 23. Blanco L. 42. Blondel L. 12. Brey L. (G) 43. Delgado M. 40. Di Lollo L. 11. Janson L. 14. Miramon I. 7. Zeballos E. 22. Zenon K.	8. Acosta G. 28. Auzqui C. 9. Bajamich M. 29. Cabrera L. 6. Ferrari G. 10. Franco N. 2. Galvez A. 37. Godoy E. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 23. Lamendola N. 4. Martinez D. 22. Ruiz R.
Coaches
Russo M.	Pusineri L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Coronel M. ↓, Bajamich M. ↑,
61', Fabra F. 🟨,
66', 0 - 1, Ferreira Namandu C. D. ⚽,
71', Villa M. ↓, Auzqui C. ↑,
71', Fabra F. ↓, Blanco L. ↑,
71', Braida M. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
72', Paredes L. 🟨,
75', Galvan I. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
75', Godoy L. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Bajamich M. ⚽,
84', Diaz L. ↓, Lamendola N. ↑,
85', Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↓, Zenon K. ↑,
90+8', 1 - 2, Cavani E. ⚽,

Preview

Neutral location.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Boca Juniors is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.07.25	Boca Juniors - Unión Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
13.07.25	Argentinos Juniors - Boca Juniors	0:0 ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
24.06.25	Auckland City - Boca Juniors	1:1 ✺
20.06.25	Bayern Munich - Boca Juniors	2:1 ✺
16.06.25	Boca Juniors - Benfica	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTTLT
- Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.07.25	Atlético Tucumán - Central Córdoba	1:1 ✺
13.07.25	Atlético Tucumán - San Martín de San Juan	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Atlético Tucumán - Lanús	1:0 ✺
30.04.25	Atlético Tucumán - Independiente	2:0 ✺
28.04.25	Godoy Cruz - Atlético Tucumán	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.05.24	Atlético Tucumán - Boca Juniors	1:0
29.01.23	Boca Juniors - Atlético Tucumán	1:0
28.08.22	Boca Juniors - Atlético Tucumán	2:1
18.09.21	Atlético Tucumán - Boca Juniors	1:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
17.04.21	Boca Juniors - Atlético Tucumán	3:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.02.20	Boca Juniors - Atlético Tucumán	2:0
20.02.19	Boca Juniors - Atlético Tucumán	1:2

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