Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro (Tucuman)

Referee: Espinoza F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Atlético Tucumán		Platense

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.25	3.7	Watch
	2.25	2.95	3.4
	2.1	3	3.9
	2.11	3.16	4.09
	2.06	3.18	3.88	Watch
	2.16	3.04	3.63	Watch
	2.13	2.96	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.02)	3.08 ↓ (3.2)	3.75 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tucumán
44.4%

Draw
30.5%

Platense
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

29.3%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

28.4%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Atlético Tucumán - Platense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mansilla M. (G) 4. Martinez D. 13. Ortiz M. 26. Ferreira Namandu C. D. 33. Brizuela M. 5. Sanchez A. 45. Ortiz K. 30. Lopez K. 23. Lamendola N. 27. Diaz L. 22. Ruiz R.	27. Losas F. (G) 25. Saborido J. 6. Salomon O. 4. Elizalde E. 22. Lozano R. 7. Mainero G. 5. Herrera R. 14. Picco L. 11. Zapiola F. 26. Schor I. 77. Martinez R.
Substitutes
35. Abeldano G. 8. Acosta G. 28. Auzqui C. 29. Cabrera L. 6. Ferrari G. 10. Franco N. 21. Galvan I. 37. Godoy E. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 14. Grillo F. 3. Villa M.	32. Baldassarra F. 24. Barros Schelotto B. 17. Bussio F. 1. Desabato A. (G) 42. Goni G. 16. Luna Diale M. 43. Maglione A. 29. Minerva F. 9. Rodriguez M. 23. Roldan E. 28. Tucker M. 39. Visona I.
Coaches
Pusineri L.	Gonzalez K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Ortiz M. 🟨,
41', Lozano R. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Brizuela M. ↓, Galvan I. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Ruiz R. ⚽,
49', Ferreira Namandu C. D. 🟨,
52', Ruiz R. 🟨,
53', 2 - 0, Galvan I. ⚽, Ortiz K. (A),
54', Lamendola N. 🟨,
57', Galvan I. 🟨,
57', Ortiz K. 🟨,
59', Zapiola F. ↓, Barros Schelotto B. ↑,
59', Herrera R. ↓, Luna Diale M. ↑,
60', Mainero G. ↓, Baldassarra F. ↑,
63', Baldassarra F. 🟨,
67', Lopez K. ↓, Auzqui C. ↑,
70', Schor I. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
78', Lamendola N. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
78', Ruiz R. ↓, Acosta G. ↑,
79', Saborido J. ↓, Minerva F. ↑,
87', Diaz L. ↓, Cabrera L. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Platense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Atlético Tucumán could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M. (Calf Injury) Infante J. (Knee Injury) Roman P. (Inactive)

There will not play in Platense: Bay J. (Knee Injury) Ingenthron C. (Inactive) Lotti A. (Ankle Injury) Luna Diale M. (Muscle Injury) Orsini N. (Muscle Injury) Portillo M. (Muscle Injury) Silva T. (Foot Injury) Toloza S. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Tucumán won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.09.25	Vélez Sársfield - Atlético Tucumán	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Atlético Tucumán - River Plate	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Newells Old Boys - Atlético Tucumán	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Atlético Tucumán	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Atlético Tucumán - Talleres de Córdoba	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWLLW
- CA Platense
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.09.25	Platense - San Martín de San Juan	2:2 ✺
19.09.25	Lanús - Platense	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Defensa y Justicia - Platense	1:2 ✺
01.09.25	Platense - Godoy Cruz	1:3 ✺
16.08.25	Platense - San Lorenzo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.03.25	Platense - Atlético Tucumán	2:1
27.05.24	Atlético Tucumán - Platense	1:1
11.02.23	Platense - Atlético Tucumán	1:1
05.10.22	Atlético Tucumán - Platense	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
17.02.22	Atlético Tucumán - Platense	2:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.10.21	Platense - Atlético Tucumán	4:1

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