Match Info

FIFA Club World Cup - Round 1

Date: 16 June 2025, Monday

Location: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, FL)

Referee: Ramos C. A. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Ariana
Africa	Azam Sports 2, Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, Showmax, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League, ZAP
Albania	DAZN, SuperSport 2
Angola	Z Sports 3
Argentina	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe
Australia	DAZN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN, Okko Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bolivia	Cotas, DAZN App, DAZN, ENTEL TV, Red Uno, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	DAZN
Costa-rica	TDMAX, Teletica 7
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 3, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3, Oneplay Sport 4
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Teleamazonas
El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO
Finland	DAZN, Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France
Georgia	1TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	ANT 1+, ANT 1 Greece, DAZN
Guatemala	Azteca Guatemala
Honduras	Deportes TV
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN, M4 Sport
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Ireland	DAZN Ireland
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Kenya	Gotv
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	DAZN App, DAZN, VIX+, ViX Premium
Montenegro	TVCG 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nicaragua	Canal 13
Nigeria	DAZN, Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN, VG+
Panama	Nex
Paraguay	DAZN App, DAZN, Tigo Sports+
Peru	America TV GO, America TV, DAZN App, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	DAZN, Pro Arena, Voyo
Russia	DAZN
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP
Serbia	DAZN
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN, SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye, Tabii, TRT Spor
Ukraine	DAZN, Suspilne Sport
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	Channel 5, DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Inter, Televen
Vietnam	DAZN, FPT Play
World	Sport 24, TyC Sports Internacional


	Boca Juniors		Benfica

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.62	Watch
	4.75	3.8	1.72
	6.3	4.15	1.52
	5.7	4	1.66
	3.95	3.67	1.85	Watch
	4.4	3.6	1.75
	7.02	4.3	1.54
	6.3	4.15	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.46 ↑ (4.42)	3.96 ↑ (3.73)	1.65 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
17.6%

Draw
24.2%

Benfica
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

25.4%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

25%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	13.2%	76.3%

Boca Juniors - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: 74 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 8 - 10.8%). Benfica will win (votes: 56 - 75.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 13.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 65.9% – 85.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Boca Juniors (2.45) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Benfica (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH -1 - Benfica (1.97) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Benfica (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benfica will win (25 of 29 users predict this - 86.21%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 37 Selected Experts predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 3 - 8.1%). Benfica (votes: 31 - 83.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 8.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Marchesin A. (G) 17. Advincula L. 4. Figal J. 32. Costa A. 23. Blanco L. 5. Battaglia R. 21. Herrera A. 22. Zenon K. 8. Carlos Palacios 16. Miguel Merentiel (C) 20. Velasco A.	1. Trubin A. (G) 30. Otamendi N. (C) 4. Silva A. 3. Carreras A. 8. Aursnes F. 61. Florentino 85. Sanches R. 26. Dahl S. 11. Di Maria A. 14. Pavlidis V. 27. Bruma
Substitutes
33. Aguirre B. 15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 30. Belmonte T. 42. Blondel L. 27. Braida M. 12. Brey L. (G) 43. Delgado M. 18. Fabra F. 13. Garcia J. (G) 9. Gimenez M. 11. Janson L. 14. Miramon I. 6. Rojo M. 3. Saracchi M. 7. Zeballos E.	17. Akturkoglu K. 81. Bajrami A. 18. Barreiro L. 19. Belotti A. 75. Gomes A. (G) 47. Gouveia T. 10. Kokcu O. 83. Luis R. 64. Oliveira G. 25. Prestianni G. 86. Prioste D. 84. Rego J. 71. Santos L. 21. Schjelderup A. 68. Veloso J.
Coaches
Russo M.	Lage B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
20', Herrera A. ↓, Belmonte T. ↑,
21', 1 - 0, Miguel Merentiel ⚽, Blanco L. (A),
27', 2 - 0, Battaglia R. ⚽, Costa A. (A),
45', Herrera A. 🟥,
45+3', 2 - 1, Di Maria A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dahl S. ↓, Belotti A. ↑,
58', Velasco A. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
61', Bruma ↓, Akturkoglu K. ↑,
61', Sanches R. ↓, Kokcu O. ↑,
65', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
66', Carlos Palacios ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
66', Carlos Palacios 🟨,
67', Carreras A. 🟨,
72', Belotti A. 🟥,
77', Di Maria A. ↓, Prestianni G. ↑,
83', Pavlidis V. 🟨,
84', 2 - 2, Otamendi N. ⚽, Kokcu O. (A),
85', Costa A. 🟨,
88', Figal J. 🟥,
90', Florentino ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Benfica is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Manu (Knee Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.05.25	Boca Juniors - Independiente	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Boca Juniors - Lanús	1:0 penalties ✺
04.05.25	Tigre - Boca Juniors	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	River Plate - Boca Juniors	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTLW
- SL Benfica
Taça de Portugal
25.05.25	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	1:3 ET ✺
Liga Portugal
17.05.25	Braga - Benfica	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Estoril Praia - Benfica	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Benfica - AVS	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTTWW

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