Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 2

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum)

Referee: Storks S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport App, Startimes Sports Focus
Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	Migu
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 7, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free, myCANAL
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 2
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Japan	Sukachan 8
Laos	beIN Connect
Mexico	Blue To Go Video Everywhere, Sky HD, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Viaplay
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 4
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+, Onefootball app


	Bochum		Borussia Mönchengladbach

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.7	2.4	Watch
	2.65	3.7	2.4
	2.8	3.75	2.4	Watch
	2.84	3.85	2.44
	2.79	3.78	2.46	Watch
	2.75	3.7	2.38	Watch
	2.86	4.01	2.41	Watch
	2.8	3.75	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.42)	3.78 ↑ (3.66)	2.41 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
34.6%

Draw
25.5%

Borussia Mönchengladbach
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

26.1%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

27.9%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Borussia Mönchengladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Borussia Mönchengladbach's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bochum, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borussia Mönchengladbach, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	25%	60%

Bochum - Borussia Mönchengladbach Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Borussia M will win (votes: 12 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia M: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Drewes P. (G) 15. Passlack F. 13. Medic J. 4. Masovic E. 32. Wittek M. 8. Losilla A. (C) 10. de Wit D. 6. Sissoko I. 19. Bero M. 33. Hofmann P. 29. Broschinski M.	1. Omlin J. (C) 29. Scally J. 3. Itakura K. 30. Elvedi N. 20. Netz L. 16. Sander P. 8. Weigl J. 9. Honorat F. 7. Stoger K. 14. Plea A. 11. Kleindienst T.
Substitutes
22. Balde A. 18. Bamba S. 9. Boadu M. 7. Daschner L. 2. Gamboa C. 1. Horn T. (G) 41. Loosli N. 14. Oermann T. 24. Pannewig M.	2. Chiarodia F. C. 31. Cvancara T. 5. Friedrich M. 25. Hack R. 22. Lainer S. 10. Neuhaus F. 19. Ngoumou N. 33. Nicolas M. (G) 27. Reitz R.
Coaches
Zeidler P.	Seoane G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Broschinski M. ↓, Balde A. ↑,
46', Losilla A. ↓, Boadu M. ↑,
65', Hofmann P. ↓, Daschner L. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Kleindienst T. ⚽, Honorat F. (A),
68', Plea A. ↓, Reitz R. ↑,
68', Sander P. ↓, Hack R. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Honorat F. ⚽, Kleindienst T. (A),
81', Sissoko I. ↓, Pannewig M. ↑,
81', Medic J. ↓, Oermann T. ↑,
82', Honorat F. ↓, Ngoumou N. ↑,
82', Kleindienst T. ↓, Cvancara T. ↑,
87', Netz L. ↓, Lainer S. ↑,
89', Pannewig M. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bochum won 1.

Bochum is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Borussia M is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Borussia M could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bochum have a series of guest games.

Recently Borussia M have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Bochum: Bernardo (Knee Injury) Ordets I. (Shoulder Injury) Riemann M. (Suspended) Tolba M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Borussia M: Borges Sanches Y. (Knee Injury) Olschowsky J. (Knee Injury) Walde S. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Bochum: Kwarteng M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Borussia M: Hack R. (Toe Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Bochum won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Bochum won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German Bundesliga
24.08.24	RB Leipzig - Bochum	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.24	Jahn Regensburg - Bochum	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Le Havre - Bochum	0:6 ✺
30.07.24	Spezia - Bochum	3:1 ✺
20.07.24	Magdeburg - Bochum	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLT
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German Bundesliga
23.08.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bayer Leverkusen	2:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Strasbourg	1:0 ✺
10.08.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Strasbourg	2:0 ✺
02.08.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Ipswich Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
24.02.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bochum	5:2
30.09.23	Bochum - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:3
06.05.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bochum	2:0
08.11.22	Bochum - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:1
18.03.22	Bochum - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:2
31.10.21	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bochum	2:1
Club Friendly
06.09.18	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bochum	2:1

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