Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	08:30	Disney+
Armenia	15:30	Fast Sports
Australia	22:30	beIN Connect
Austria	13:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Chile	08:30	Disney+
Colombia	06:30	Disney+
Czech Republic	13:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	13:30	Viaplay
Finland	14:30	Viaplay
Germany	13:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	14:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	19:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	11:30	Viaplay
Malaysia	19:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Netherlands	13:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	00:30	beIN Connect
Norway	13:30	Viaplay
Peru	06:30	Disney+
Philippines	19:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	12:30	DAZN / App
Saudi Arabia	14:30	MBC Shahid
Singapore	19:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	13:30	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Spain	13:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	13:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	13:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Top Event
Uruguay	08:30	Disney+
Venezuela	07:30	Disney+
International	11:30	OneFootball TV


	Bochum		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.50	3.30	Watch
	2.05	3.60	3.50
	2.17	3.55	3.10
	2.05	3.60	3.85
	2.29	3.55	2.98	Watch
	2.02	3.55	3.80
	2.10	3.58	3.38	Watch
	2.06	3.50	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.33)	3.55 ↓ (3.57)	3.41 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
45.3%

Draw
26.8%

Arminia Bielefeld
27.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.5%

26.5%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

26.4%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arminia Bielefeld might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Bochum - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Arminia will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bochum: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bochum (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Bochum (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bochum (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horn T. (C) 2. Klaiber S. 15. Steinwender M. 5. Mets K. 32. Wittek M. 34. Meyer T. 24. Pannewig M. 7. Rasmussen C. 23. Miyoshi K. 17. Holtmann G. 33. Hofmann P.	1. Kersken J. (G) 2. Hagmann F. 19. Grosser M. 5. Bauer M. (C) 3. Felix J. 17. Sicker A. 30. Young I. 21. Russo S. 31. Jensen L. 38. Worl M. 11. Grodowski J.
Substitutes
16. Casali T. (G) 37. Crimaldi A. 19. Hanslik D. 39. Isbruch L. 4. Karademir Y. 29. Ouro-Tagba M. 28. Patino C. 31. Sawas L. 10. Taz B.	27. Boakye B. 29. Handwerker T. 7. Koudossou H. 6. Mehlem M. 9. Min D. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 10. Rochelt J. 23. Schneider L. 8. Schreck S.
Coaches
Rosler U.	Kirch O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Steinwender M. 🟨,
38', Felix J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Rasmussen C. ↓, Taz B. ↑,
64', Jensen L. ↓, Boakye B. ↑,
64', Young I. ↓, Rochelt J. ↑,
72', Boakye B. 🟨,
78', 0 - 1, Boakye B. ⚽, Grodowski J. (A),
81', Pannewig M. ↓, Hanslik D. ↑,
82', Grodowski J. ↓, Min D. ↑,
87', Wittek M. ↓, Crimaldi A. ↑,
87', Holtmann G. 🟨,
90', Worl M. ↓, Schneider L. ↑,
90', Min D. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 11th and 15th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 2.

In recent outings, Bochum has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Arminia is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Arminia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Bochum: Cokaj E. (Muscle Injury) Drakas B. (Knee Injury) Mbom J. (Ankle Injury) Olsen O. (Hamstring Injury) Strompf P. (Groin Injury).

Confirmed absences for Arminia: Richter D. (Knee Injury).

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Bochum has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:28 (averaging 1.1:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bochum against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:13 goals (averaging 1.3:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Arminia Bielefeld	9	3	2	4	13:14	-1	11
14	Bochum	9	2	2	5	6:10	-4	8

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Bochum: 0.85% Arminia Bielefeld: 0.68%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Bochum - Osnabrück	4:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
20.09.26	Hannover - Bochum	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Bochum - Greuther Fürth	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Dynamo Dresden - Bochum	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Bochum - Osnabrück	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLTWL
- Arminia Bielefeld
German 2 Bundesliga
20.09.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Heidenheim	2:2 ✺
11.09.26	Darmstadt - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Arminia Bielefeld - St. Pauli	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Nürnberg - Arminia Bielefeld	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Arminia Bielefeld	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
02.05.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Bochum	1:1
06.12.25	Bochum - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0
German DFB Pokal
12.08.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Bochum	3:2 penalties
German Bundesliga
06.05.22	Bochum - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1
14.12.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Bochum	2:0
Club Friendly
09.10.20	Bochum - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1
German 2 Bundesliga
28.01.20	Arminia Bielefeld - Bochum	2:0

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