Match Info

Division 2 - Norrland - Relegation Group

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Boden City		Kiruna

	1	X	2
	1.94	3.73	3.04
	1.91	3.72	3.27
	2.9	3.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.94)	3.68 ↑ (3.65)	2.79 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boden City
41.4%

Draw
25.3%

Kiruna
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

25.1%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

24.6%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boden City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boden City's performance.

Kiruna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kiruna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boden City than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boden City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiruna than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kiruna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Boden City - Kiruna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Kiruna might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Boden City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Boden City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boden City
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
27.09.25	Lucksta - Boden City	3:1 ✺
15.09.25	Boden City - Bergnäsets	3:2 ✺
07.09.25	Boden City - Boden	3:2 ✺
03.09.25	Täfteå - Boden City	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Boden City - Friska Viljor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWLL
- Kiruna FF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
27.09.25	Kiruna - Bergnäsets	4:4 ✺
20.09.25	Boden - Kiruna	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Kiruna - Täfteå	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Kiruna - Friska Viljor	2:4 ✺
30.08.25	Lucksta - Kiruna	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
17.08.25	Kiruna - Boden City	1:0
14.06.25	Kiruna - Boden City	1:1
10.05.25	Boden City - Kiruna	3:0

Boden City - Kiruna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide