Match Info

Super Lig - Round 38

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Bodrum İlçe Stadı (Bodrum)

Referee: Aydin C. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bodrumspor		Beşiktaş

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.1	1.67	Watch
	4.2	4.1	1.7
	4.29	4.13	1.7	Watch
	4.55	4.16	1.7
	4.16	3.99	1.79	Watch
	4.2	3.7	1.75
	4.44	4.08	1.73	Watch
	4.29	4.13	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↑ (3.6)	4.05 ↑ (3.64)	1.72 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodrumspor
21.8%

Draw
23.3%

Beşiktaş
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

25.9%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

25.7%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodrumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beşiktaş's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beşiktaş, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.5%	9.1%	86.4%

Bodrumspor - Beşiktaş Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Beşiktaş (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Beşiktaş will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Beşiktaş will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Beşiktaş (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 70. Bilsel E. 15. Ajeti Ar. 29. Herelle C. 77. Sen C. 21. Aslan A. 16. Fredy (C) 20. Brazao P. 99. Seferi T. 7. Dimitrov Z. 9. Puscas G.	34. Gunok M. (C) 2. Svensson J. 3. Gabriel Paulista 14. Uduokhai F. 26. Masuaku A. 6. Hadziahmetovic A. 83. Fernandes G. 18. Joao Mario 23. Muci E. 27. Rafa Silva 91. Hekimoglu M.
Substitutes
54. Adiyaman R. (G) 14. Akpinar T. 34. Aytemur A. 41. Bayrakdar G. 33. Celustka O. 4. Degismez E. 48. Dumanli C. 88. Guven B. 91. Ogruce E. 6. Ozdamar S.	10. Arroyo K. 4. Bulut O. 30. Destanoglu E. (G) 19. Kilic A. 9. Kilicsoy S. 5. Sanuc T. T. 79. Terzi E. 53. Topcu E. 8. Ucan S. 20. Uysal N.
Coaches
Morais J.	Solskjaer O. G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, Hekimoglu M. ⚽,
16', Ajeti Ar. 🟨,
27', 0 - 2, Fernandes G. ⚽, Gabriel Paulista (A),
45+1', 0 - 3, Hekimoglu M. ⚽, Masuaku A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Puscas G. ↓, Bayrakdar G. ↑,
46', Sen C. ↓, Ozdamar S. ↑,
63', Dimitrov Z. ↓, Ogruce E. ↑,
71', Bilsel E. ↓, Dumanli C. ↑,
71', 0 - 4, Joao Mario (Pen),
72', Muci E. ↓, Arroyo K. ↑,
72', Rafa Silva ↓, Kilicsoy S. ↑,
77', Hekimoglu M. ↓, Topcu E. ↑,
77', Masuaku A. ↓, Terzi E. ↑,
77', Hadziahmetovic A. ↓, Uysal N. ↑,
86', Herelle C. ↓, Celustka O. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

Bodrumspor is Relegated to 1. Lig

Beşiktaş is Qualified for Europa League (Qualification )

Recent form of Bodrumspor has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Beşiktaş is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Beşiktaş is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Bodrumspor: Ersunar K. (Inactive) Osman H. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Immobile C. (Yellow Cards) Oxlade-Chamberlain A. (Injury) Zaynutdinov B. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Bodrumspor: Celustka O. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bodrumspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodrumspor
Turkish Super League
25.05.25	Kayserispor - Bodrumspor	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Bodrumspor - Trabzonspor	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Sivasspor - Bodrumspor	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Bodrumspor - Samsunspor	1:2 ✺
18.04.25	Galatasaray - Bodrumspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTTLL
- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
25.05.25	Beşiktaş - Çaykur Rizespor	1:2 ✺
18.05.25	Alanyaspor - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Beşiktaş - Adana Demirspor	4:1 ✺
04.05.25	Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş	0:1 ✺
25.04.25	Beşiktaş - Hatayspor	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
11.01.25	Beşiktaş - Bodrumspor	2:1

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