Match Info

Super Lig - Round 33

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Bodrum İlçe Stadı (Bodrum)

Referee: Kol Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2


	Bodrumspor		Samsunspor

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.3	3	3.2
	2.45	2.96	3.15
	2.38	3	3.56
	2.43	2.97	3.31	Watch
	2.38	2.9	3.25
	2.44	3.01	3.28	Watch
	2.45	2.96	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (3.04)	2.99 ↓ (3.65)	3.26 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bodrumspor
39.4%

Draw
31.6%

Samsunspor
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

26.2%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

26%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bodrumspor's performance.

Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samsunspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bodrumspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samsunspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Bodrumspor - Samsunspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bodrumspor will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Samsunspor will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Bodrumspor (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Bodrumspor (1.70) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bodrumspor (votes: 3 - 50%). Samsunspor (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 23. Ergun U. 15. Ajeti Ar. 34. Aytemur A. 77. Sen C. 5. Antalyali T. 16. Fredy (C) 21. Aslan A. 10. Bardhi E. 11. Okita J. 99. Seferi T.	1. Kocuk O. (G) 18. Yavru Z. (C) 37. Satka L. 4. Van Drongelen R. 16. Bola M. 55. Cift Y. E. 10. Ntcham O. 17. Schindler K. 21. Holse C. 11. Kilinc E. 14. Dimata L.
Substitutes
54. Adiyaman R. (G) 41. Bayrakdar G. 70. Bilsel E. 20. Brazao P. 4. Degismez E. 48. Dumanli C. 29. Herelle C. 26. Mohammed M. 6. Ozdamar S. 9. Puscas G.	8. Aydogdu S. 96. Cetin B. 28. Gonul S. 9. Marius 7. Muja A. 2. Nanu 20. Ozbaskici M. 13. Tait F. 45. Yeral H. (G) 5. Yuksel C.
Coaches
Morais J.	Reis T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Aslan A. ⚽, Bardhi E. (A),
10', 1 - 1, Ntcham O. (Pen),
38', 1 - 2, Dimata L. ⚽, Satka L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Okita J. ↓, Mohammed M. ↑,
60', Seferi T. ↓, Puscas G. ↑,
60', Ergun U. ↓, Bilsel E. ↑,
69', Bola M. ↓, Gonul S. ↑,
69', Yavru Z. ↓, Yuksel C. ↑,
75', Ntcham O. 🟨,
76', Aslan A. ↓, Bayrakdar G. ↑,
79', Kocuk O. 🟨,
79', Cift Y. E. ↓, Marius ↑,
80', Ajeti Ar. 🟨,
81', Van Drongelen R. 🟨,
88', Holse C. 🟨,
88', Kilinc E. ↓, Muja A. ↑,
88', Antalyali T. ↓, Dumanli C. ↑,
90+14', Fredy 🟨,
90+16', 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Bodrumspor is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Samsunspor has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bodrumspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bodrumspor will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Bodrumspor: Osman H. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Bodrumspor: Mohammed M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Samsunspor: Ait Bennasser Y. (Injury) Yuksel C. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bodrumspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:9 (average 0.4:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Bodrumspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodrumspor
Turkish Super League
18.04.25	Galatasaray - Bodrumspor	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Bodrumspor - Antalyaspor	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Alanyaspor - Bodrumspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
02.04.25	Trabzonspor - Bodrumspor	3:2 ET ✺
Turkish Super League
28.03.25	Bodrumspor - Fenerbahçe	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTWLL
- Samsunspor
Turkish Super League
21.04.25	Alanyaspor - Samsunspor	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Samsunspor - Galatasaray	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Antalyaspor - Samsunspor	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Samsunspor - Kasımpaşa	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Fenerbahçe - Samsunspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
30.11.24	Samsunspor - Bodrumspor	4:0
Turkish First League
16.05.23	Samsunspor - Bodrumspor	0:1
17.12.22	Bodrumspor - Samsunspor	0:0
Turkish Second League White Group
06.03.19	Samsunspor - Bodrumspor	3:1
17.10.18	Bodrumspor - Samsunspor	0:2

Upcoming Matches