Match Info

Super Lig - Round 36

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Bodrum İlçe Stadı (Bodrum)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bodrumspor		Trabzonspor

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.77	3.7	4.33
	1.84	3.59	4.13	Watch
	1.87	3.63	4.3
	1.86	3.66	4.18	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.8
	1.89	3.68	4.08	Watch
	1.84	3.59	4.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.68)	3.62 ↑ (3.41)	4.18 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodrumspor
51.3%

Draw
26.1%

Trabzonspor
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

27.9%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

28.3%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bodrumspor's performance.

Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trabzonspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bodrumspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trabzonspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.1%	27.3%	13.6%

Bodrumspor - Trabzonspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Bodrumspor will win (votes: 11 - 55%). Trabzonspor will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bodrumspor: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Bodrumspor (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Trabzonspor (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Trabzonspor (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Bodrumspor (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Trabzonspor (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 23. Ergun U. 15. Ajeti Ar. 29. Herelle C. 34. Aytemur A. 77. Sen C. 21. Aslan A. 5. Antalyali T. 16. Fredy (C) 10. Bardhi E. 41. Bayrakdar G.	54. Taha M. (G) 79. Malheiro P. 35. Yokuslu O. 5. Lundstram J. 77. Bosluk A. 74. Malkocoglu S. 11. Tufan O. 22. Zubkov O. 10. Muhammed Cham 9. Nwakaeme A. (C) 70. Dragus D.
Substitutes
53. Akkan G. (G) 70. Bilsel E. 20. Brazao P. 4. Degismez E. 7. Dimitrov Z. 48. Dumanli C. 26. Mohammed M. 11. Okita J. 6. Ozdamar S. 9. Puscas G.	90. Aktas M. (G) 61. Canak C. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 6. Mendy B. 29. Saatci S. 14. Sikan D. 7. Visca E. 88. Yildirim A. (G) 84. Yilmaz A. S.
Coaches
Morais J.	Tekke F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Antalyali T. ⚽, Bardhi E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dragus D. ↓, Jabol-Folcarelli T. ↑,
46', Tufan O. ↓, Canak C. ↑,
67', Bosluk A. ↓, Mendy B. ↑,
67', Lundstram J. ↓, Visca E. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Muhammed Cham (Pen),
78', Sen C. ↓, Bilsel E. ↑,
78', Aslan A. ↓, Mohammed M. ↑,
85', Muhammed Cham ↓, Sikan D. ↑,
85', Ergun U. ↓, Brazao P. ↑,
85', Bayrakdar G. ↓, Dumanli C. ↑,
88', Antalyali T. ↓, Puscas G. ↑,
90+3', Zubkov O. 🟨,
90+8', Mendy B. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 9).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bodrumspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Trabzonspor has had a series of home games.

In this match, Bodrumspor is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Bodrumspor: Osman H. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Trabzonspor: Cevikkan O. (Finger Injury) Jabol-Folcarelli T. (Injury) Turkmen H. (Injury) Yildirim A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bodrumspor: Celustka O. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Trabzonspor: Batagov A. (Injury) Destan E. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bodrumspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Bodrumspor - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 35.43%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodrumspor
Turkish Super League
11.05.25	Sivasspor - Bodrumspor	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Bodrumspor - Samsunspor	1:2 ✺
18.04.25	Galatasaray - Bodrumspor	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Bodrumspor - Antalyaspor	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Alanyaspor - Bodrumspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLLTW
- Trabzonspor
Turkish Cup
14.05.25	Trabzonspor - Galatasaray	0:3 ✺
Turkish Super League
10.05.25	Trabzonspor - Galatasaray	0:2 ✺
05.05.25	Kasımpaşa - Trabzonspor	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Trabzonspor - Alanyaspor	4:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
24.04.25	Trabzonspor - Göztepe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Cup
02.04.25	Trabzonspor - Bodrumspor	3:2 ET
Turkish Super League
22.12.24	Trabzonspor - Bodrumspor	1:0

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