Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 27

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday

Location: Bodrum İlçe Stadı (Bodrum)

Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, ESPN 1
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 6
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Mexico	Disney+
Montenegro	Sportklub 6
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 6
Peru	Disney+
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV
Serbia	SportKlub 6
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+


	Bodrumspor		Kasımpaşa

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.3	3	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.1
	2.32	3.26	3.07	Watch
	2.4	3.45	3.17
	2.33	3.32	3.13	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.9
	2.36	3.55	3.13	Watch
	2.32	3.26	3.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.16)	3.36 ↓ (3.46)	3.07 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

Watch this match and Turkish Super League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 3

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Current Win Probability

Bodrumspor
40.8%

Draw
28.3%

Kasımpaşa
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

27.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

27.8%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodrumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	31.2%	12.5%

Bodrumspor - Kasımpaşa Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bodrumspor will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bodrumspor: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 23. Ergun U. 15. Ajeti Ar. 34. Aytemur A. 77. Sen C. 4. Degismez E. (C) 26. Mohammed M. 70. Bilsel E. 16. Fredy 11. Okita J. 9. Puscas G.	1. Gianniotis A. (G) 2. Claudio Winck 91. Piatkowski K. 20. Opoku N. 77. Rodrigues K. 6. Gul G. 7. Fall M. 72. Barak A. 10. Hajradinovic H. (C) 9. Brekalo J. 18. Da Costa N.
Substitutes
14. Akpinar T. 10. Bardhi E. 41. Bayrakdar G. 20. Brazao P. 7. Dimitrov Z. 22. Ersunar K. (G) 29. Herelle C. 91. Ogruce E. 6. Ozdamar S. 99. Seferi T.	23. Alkas S. 29. Aydin T. 38. Bolat S. (G) 8. Cafu 5. Ciftpinar S. 14. Espinoza J. 11. Keles C. 54. Mujde A. 47. Muratoglu B. 15. Suakar Y.
Coaches
Morais J.	Sutlu S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Barak A. ↓, Keles C. ↑,
64', Okita J. ↓, Bardhi E. ↑,
64', Degismez E. ↓, Brazao P. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Fredy ⚽, Bilsel E. (A),
76', Brekalo J. ↓, Cafu ↑,
80', Bilsel E. ↓, Seferi T. ↑,
86', Gul G. ↓, Alkas S. ↑,
86', Claudio Winck ↓, Espinoza J. ↑,
87', Ergun U. ↓, Herelle C. ↑,
87', Puscas G. ↓, Dimitrov Z. ↑,
90', Nogueira Sousa D. F. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 11).

Bodrumspor is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kasımpaşa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bodrumspor will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Bodrumspor: Akkan G. (Injury) Celustka O. (Yellow Cards) Erdilman M. (Knee Injury) Osman H. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Ben Ouanes M. (Yellow Cards) Kara A. (Knee Injury) Ozcan Y. (Yellow Cards) Yanar A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Kasımpaşa: Espinoza J. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bodrumspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodrumspor
Turkish Super League
01.03.25	Adana Demirspor - Bodrumspor	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
25.02.25	Sivasspor - Bodrumspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
21.02.25	Bodrumspor - Hatayspor	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Bodrumspor	0:1 ✺
10.02.25	Bodrumspor - Göztepe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TWWWT
- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
02.03.25	Kasımpaşa - Galatasaray	3:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
27.02.25	Kasımpaşa - Göztepe	0:5 ✺
Turkish Super League
22.02.25	Antalyaspor - Kasımpaşa	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Fenerbahçe - Kasımpaşa	3:1 ✺
09.02.25	Kasımpaşa - Çaykur Rizespor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
05.10.24	Kasımpaşa - Bodrumspor	0:0

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