Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 33

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Bodrum İlçe Stadı (Bodrum)

Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Bodrumspor		Kocaelispor

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.75	Watch
	1.9	3.1	3.6
	2.05	3.3	3.75
	2.06	3.24	3.62
	2.05	3.04	4.09
	1.91	3.2	3.6
	1.95	3.26	3.86
	1.94	3.15	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.07)	3.19 ↓ (3.23)	3.75 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodrumspor
46.6%

Draw
28.9%

Kocaelispor
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

28.8%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

28.3%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Bodrumspor - Kocaelispor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 23. Ergun U. 6. Ozdamar S. 3. Celustka O. 77. Sen C. 4. Degismez E. (C) 10. Ozer K. 26. Mohammed M. 8. Yalcin S. 94. Coban B. 41. Bayrakdar G.	35. Degirmenci G. (C) 77. Ceylan O. 55. Abdioglu Y. 53. Oksuz B. 23. Aksu D. 8. Celik C. 4. Ortakaya E. 10. Candeias D. 41. Amaral J. 14. Beridze G. 47. Sheydayev R.
Substitutes
14. Akpinar T. 44. Apaydin F. 21. Aslan A. 9. Bilsel E. 20. Brazao P. 48. Dumanli C. 30. Erdilman M. 11. Imeri O. 19. Osman H. 32. Tosun B. C. (G)	70. Alici B. 7. Ekinci C. 12. Kharaishvili G. 67. Sari M. E. (G) 38. Skhirtladze D. 45. Tunali M. 19. Turan A. 44. Vukovic J. 21. Yildiz B. 32. Yilmaz M.
Coaches
Tasdemir I.	Gursel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Ozer K. ⚽, Ergun U. (A),
24', Mohammed M. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Yalcin S. ⚽, Bayrakdar G. (A),
45', Sheydayev R. ↓, Vukovic J. ↑,
45', Oksuz B. ↓, Skhirtladze D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Aksu D. ↓, Turan A. ↑,
52', Ozer K. 🟨,
63', Ozer K. ↓, Dumanli C. ↑,
63', Degismez E. ↓, Aslan A. ↑,
66', 3 - 0, Mohammed M. ⚽,
68', Candeias D. ↓, Alici B. ↑,
74', Bayrakdar G. ↓, Brazao P. ↑,
74', Ozdamar S. ↓, Apaydin F. ↑,
74', Celik C. ↓, Kharaishvili G. ↑,
78', Dumanli C. 🟨,
80', Coban B. ↓, Bilsel E. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Bodrumspor will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bodrumspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodrumspor
Turkish First League
28.04.24	Tuzlaspor - Bodrumspor	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Bodrumspor - Şanlıurfaspor	2:1 ✺
15.04.24	Adanaspor - Bodrumspor	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Bodrumspor - Keçiörengücü	0:0 ✺
02.04.24	Manisa FK - Bodrumspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWTTW
- Kocaelispor
Turkish First League
28.04.24	Kocaelispor - Bandırmaspor	3:1 ✺
22.04.24	Umraniyespor - Kocaelispor	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Kocaelispor - Giresunspor	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Çorum - Kocaelispor	1:1 ✺
03.04.24	Kocaelispor - Göztepe	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
19.12.23	Kocaelispor - Bodrumspor	1:1
Club Friendly
31.07.23	Kocaelispor - Bodrumspor	1:2

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