Match Info

1. Lig - Round 38

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Bodrum İlçe Stadı (Bodrum)

Referee: Doman T. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Bodrumspor		Sarıyer

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.61	3.6	4.6
	1.78	3.79	4.29
	1.74	3.77	4.36	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.2
	1.69	3.6	4.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.67)	3.63 ↓ (3.65)	4.36 ↓ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodrumspor
53.7%

Draw
25.3%

Sarıyer
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

25.2%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

27.1%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodrumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Sarıyer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bodrumspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Bodrumspor - Sarıyer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 77. Sen C. 35. Apaydin F. 15. Ajeti Ar. (C) 11. Imeri O. 20. Sertkaya Y. 8. Erdilman M. 70. Bilsel E. 26. Potuk A. 25. Turk A. 41. Bayrakdar G.	97. Akyuz F. (G) 77. Karayel C. 14. Mert M. 20. Osmanpasa C. 19. Bayram O. 28. Yesilyurt H. E. (C) 70. Camara M. 53. Poko A. 17. Aydogmus B. 9. Dembele P. M. 91. Kor B.
Substitutes
37. Arkutcu E. 90. Habesoglu A. 18. Obekpa G. 91. Ogruce E. 9. Osman H. 99. Seferi T. 30. Tarhan Y. 68. Tarim I. 32. Tosun B. (G) 17. Yavuzay B.	23. Bayram M. (G) 92. Ekmekci A. 90. Eze E. 35. Kara A. 5. Korkmazoglu E. 24. Oguz A. E. 4. Ozer F. 48. Sol O. 6. Traore H. 22. Yilmaz O.
Coaches
Eser B.	Cetin S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Aydogmus B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Turk A. ↓, Yavuzay B. ↑,
46', Imeri O. ↓, Habesoglu A. ↑,
69', Sen C. ↓, Tarim I. ↑,
70', Bayrakdar G. ↓, Seferi T. ↑,
77', Akyuz F. ↓, Bayram M. ↑,
77', Aydogmus B. ↓, Traore H. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Bayram O. ⚽, Traore H. (A),
84', Camara M. ↓, Eze E. ↑,
86', Apaydin F. ↓, Arkutcu E. ↑,
89', Kor B. ↓, Sol O. ↑,
89', Bayram O. ↓, Oguz A. E. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

Bodrumspor is Qualified for 1. Lig (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bodrumspor won 2.

Bodrumspor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sarıyer is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Bodrumspor is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Bodrumspor: Aytemur A. (Red Card) Bozkurt Y. (Inactive) Brazao P. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Sarıyer: Babacar K. (Inactive) Djilobodji P. (Inactive) Silva M. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Bodrumspor: Ajeti Ar. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bodrumspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Bodrumspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sariyer	8	4	2	2	11:9	2	14
14	Bodrumspor	8	1	5	2	7:6	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodrumspor
Turkish First League
26.04.26	Amed SK - Bodrumspor	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Bodrumspor - Erzurumspor	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Bodrumspor - Bandırmaspor	0:0 ✺
07.04.26	Çorum - Bodrumspor	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Bodrumspor - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TTTTW
- Sarıyer
Turkish First League
26.04.26	Sarıyer - Erokspor	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	İstanbulspor - Sarıyer	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sarıyer - Hatayspor	4:0 ✺
07.04.26	Bandırmaspor - Sarıyer	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Sarıyer - Serik Belediyespor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
27.12.25	Sarıyer - Bodrumspor	1:0
Turkish Second League Red Group
05.03.22	Bodrumspor - Sarıyer	3:0
31.10.21	Sarıyer - Bodrumspor	1:2
Turkish Second League White Group
17.03.19	Sarıyer - Bodrumspor	3:1
27.10.18	Bodrumspor - Sarıyer	1:3
Turkish Second League Red Group
21.01.18	Sarıyer - Bodrumspor	3:1
Turkish Cup
21.09.16	Sarıyer - Bodrumspor	1:0

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