Match Info

1. Lig - Round 33

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Yusuf Ziya Onis (Istanbul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii


	Sarıyer		Serik Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.65	3.6	4.77	Watch
	1.67	3.85	5.37
	1.65	3.96	4.73	Watch
	1.67	3.5	4.8
	1.71	3.59	4.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.63)	3.67 ↓ (3.88)	4.88 ↑ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarıyer
55.6%

Draw
25.3%

Serik Belediyespor
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

23.9%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

23.2%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarıyer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Serik Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Sarıyer - Serik Belediyespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sarıyer will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Serik Belediyespor will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarıyer (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Bayram M. (G) 77. Karayel C. 14. Mert M. 20. Osmanpasa C. (C) 5. Korkmazoglu E. 6. Traore H. 70. Camara M. 53. Poko A. 88. Silva M. 9. Dembele P. M. 90. Eze E.	21. Sapan V. (G) 2. Tashkyn S. 4. Martynov A. 28. Montes A. 44. Cavlan C. 58. Asan B. 20. Dilli S. (C) 79. Altiparmak G. 98. Topalli J. 40. Nwachukwu C. 9. Sadygov I.
Substitutes
97. Akyuz F. (G) 17. Aydogmus B. 19. Bayram O. 35. Kara A. 91. Kor B. 27. Kulasin E. 24. Oguz A. E. 4. Ozer F. 48. Sol O. 22. Yilmaz O.	14. Adeola R. 5. Demir C. 39. Demirozu M. 27. Karakaya B. (G) 95. Koc A. 66. Kosker K. 77. Nalepa M. 70. Ozcan S. 55. Skvortsov L. 50. Terzi E.
Coaches
Cetin S.	Boran M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Dembele P. M. ⚽, Camara M. (A),
12', 2 - 0, Poko A. ⚽, Dembele P. M. (A),
20', 3 - 0, Eze E. ⚽,
40', Asan B. ↓, Nalepa M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sapan V. ↓, Karakaya B. ↑,
50', Cavlan C. 🟨,
70', Dembele P. M. ↓, Kor B. ↑,
70', Eze E. ↓, Kulasin E. ↑,
70', Silva M. ↓, Kara A. ↑,
74', Nwachukwu C. ↓, Koc A. ↑,
74', Sadygov I. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
74', Topalli J. ↓, Adeola R. ↑,
78', Korkmazoglu E. ↓, Bayram O. ↑,
83', Mert M. ↓, Ozer F. ↑,
90+3', Koc A. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Sarıyer is the team to beat.

There will not play in Sarıyer: Babacar K. (Inactive) Djilobodji P. (Inactive) Yesilyurt H. E. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Ceylan B. (Yellow Cards) Demir I. (Tendon Injury) Guibero R. (Inactive) Okoro J. (Inactive) Spasov G. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Serik Belediyespor: Ceylan B. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarıyer won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarıyer won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sariyer	8	4	2	2	11:9	2	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarıyer
Turkish First League
22.03.26	Vanspor - Sarıyer	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sarıyer - Keçiörengücü	3:1 ✺
10.03.26	Manisa FK - Sarıyer	3:0 ✺
06.03.26	Sarıyer - Umraniyespor	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Sakaryaspor - Sarıyer	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWLLT
- Serik Belediyespor
Turkish First League
21.03.26	Serik Belediyespor - Sakaryaspor	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Adana Demirspor - Serik Belediyespor	1:4 ✺
10.03.26	Serik Belediyespor - Pendikspor	3:4 ✺
07.03.26	Amed SK - Serik Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Serik Belediyespor - Sivasspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
24.11.25	Serik Belediyespor - Sarıyer	3:0
Turkish Second League Red Group
05.03.23	Serik Belediyespor - Sarıyer	1:2
25.09.22	Sarıyer - Serik Belediyespor	1:1
30.01.22	Sarıyer - Serik Belediyespor	1:0
26.09.21	Serik Belediyespor - Sarıyer	2:1

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