Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 30 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Bodø Glimt		Lugano

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.75	6.5
	1.46	4.5	5.5
	1.47	4.75	6	Watch
	1.48	4.73	6.43
	1.46	4.73	6.43
	1.33	5	7.5
	1.47	4.6	6.1
	1.45	5	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.36)	4.76 ↓ (5.05)	6.38 ↓ (7.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodø Glimt
65.3%

Draw
19.9%

Lugano
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

18.5%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

17.9%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodø Glimt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bodø Glimt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	0%	9.5%

Bodø Glimt - Lugano Predictions

Users Predictions: Bodø Glimt will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lund J. F. (G) 5. Wembangomo B. 18. Moe B. (C) 4. Bjortuft O. L. 15. Bjorkan F. 19. Fet S. B. 77. Berg P. 8. Gronbaek A. 27. Sorli S. 29. Moumbagna F. 7. Pellegrino A.	1. Saipi A. (G) 34. Arigoni A. 17. Mai L. 4. Hajrizi K. 5. Hajdari A. 29. Hadj M. 14. Sabbatini J. (C) 25. Bislimi U. 11. Steffen R. 9. Celar Z. 21. Cimignani Y.
Substitutes
6. Amundsen I. H. 10. Bassi D. 44. Brondbo M. (G) 22. Dahl P. 25. Gulliksen T. 28. Kapskarmo O. 2. Lode M. 14. Saltnes U. 45. Sjong I. (G) 20. Sjovold F. 30. Sorensen A. 99. Zugelj N.	50. Angstmann J. 27. Babic B. 90. Deana S. (G) 41. De Queiroz N. 22. El Wafi A. 6. Espinoza J. 7. Macek R. 99. Mina D. (G) 19. Vladi S.
Coaches
Knutsen K.	Croci-Torti M.

Preview

Bodø Glimt is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lugano is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Lugano have a series of guest games.

In this match Bodø Glimt is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Bodø Glimt: Dahl P. (Injury) Elabdellaoui O. (Injury) Espejord R. (Leg Injury) Kristiansen S. (Injury) Tjaerandsen-Skau A. (Injury)

There will not play in Lugano: Osigwe S. (Injury) Valenzuela M. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Bodø Glimt to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bodø Glimt won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodø Glimt
Norwegian Eliteserien
26.11.23	Brann - Bodø Glimt	4:2 ✺
12.11.23	Bodø Glimt - Aalesunds	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.11.23	Beşiktaş - Bodø Glimt	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
05.11.23	Stabæk - Bodø Glimt	0:4 ✺
30.10.23	Bodø Glimt - Lillestrøm SK	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWW
- FC Lugano
Swiss Super League
25.11.23	Yverdon - Lugano	0:5 ✺
12.11.23	Lugano - Zürich	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.11.23	Club Brugge - Lugano	2:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
04.11.23	Lausanne-Sport - Lugano	3:1 ✺
Swiss Cup
01.11.23	Lausanne-Sport - Lugano	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.09.23	Lugano - Bodø Glimt	0:0

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