Match Info

Super League - Round 30

Date: 1 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stade Municipal (Yverdon-les-Bains)

Referee: Turkes M. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2


	Yverdon		Lugano

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.8	1.75	Watch
	3.4	3.5	2	Watch
	4.2	3.7	1.78
	4.64	3.84	1.74	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2.05
	4.62	3.68	1.72	Watch
	4.2	3.7	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↓ (4.2)	3.65 ↓ (4.2)	1.83 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yverdon
22.9%

Draw
25.8%

Lugano
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

21.4%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yverdon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yverdon than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.4%	13%	56.5%

Yverdon - Lugano Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Yverdon will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Lugano will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Bernardoni P. (G) 18. Kongsro V. 25. Marques C. 2. Tijani M. 6. Le Pogam W. (C) 7. Rodrigues M. 37. Sylla F. 8. Legowski M. 9. Ake M. 10. Cespedes B. 19. Marchesano A.	1. Saipi A. (G) 46. Zanotti M. 17. Mai L. 5. Hajdari A. 23. Valenzuela M. 6. Papadopoulos A. 8. Grgic A. 11. Steffen R. (C) 25. Bislimi U. 7. Macek R. 70. Koutsias G.
Substitutes
4. Diop D. T. 87. Esteves G. 5. Grodem M. 21. Komano H. 22. Martin K. (G) 15. Nunez C. 12. Piccini C. 32. Sauthier A. 27. Tasar V.	2. Brault-Guillard Z. 21. Cimignani Y. 20. Doumbia O. 22. El Wafi A. 26. Marques M. 58. Osigwe S. (G) 93. Przybylko K. 16. Ryter Y. 9. Vladi S.
Coaches
Tramezzani P.	Croci-Torti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Grgic A. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cespedes B. 🟨,
62', Rodrigues M. ↓, Esteves G. ↑,
62', Cespedes B. ↓, Komano H. ↑,
66', Macek R. ↓, Doumbia O. ↑,
73', Koutsias G. ↓, Vladi S. ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Vladi S. ⚽, Valenzuela M. (A),
87', Marchesano A. ↓, Grodem M. ↑,
88', Zanotti M. ↓, Brault-Guillard Z. ↑,
88', Bislimi U. ↓, Marques M. ↑,
90+2', Vladi S. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).

Yverdon is Super League (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yverdon won 1.

Recent matches Yverdon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lugano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lugano will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Yverdon: Baradji M. (Yellow Cards) Gnakpa J. (Inactive) Kamenovic D. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Lugano: Aliseda I. (Hip Injury) Bislimi U. (Injury) Bottani M. (Groin Injury) Dos Santos D. (Inactive) Mahou H. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Yverdon: Kacuri D. (Inactive) Piccini C. (Inactive)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Yverdon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3:17 (average 0.5:2.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Yverdon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.7:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yverdon-Sport FC
Swiss Super League
29.03.25	Sion - Yverdon	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Servette - Yverdon	2:3 ✺
08.03.25	Yverdon - Winterthur	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Yverdon - Luzern	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Zürich - Yverdon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 TWWTL
- FC Lugano
Swiss Super League
29.03.25	Lugano - Servette	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Lugano - Winterthur	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.03.25	Lugano - Celje	5:5 penalties ✺
Swiss Super League
09.03.25	Sion - Lugano	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.03.25	Celje - Lugano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Cup
04.12.24	Yverdon - Lugano	0:2
Swiss Super League
03.11.24	Lugano - Yverdon	2:0
20.10.24	Yverdon - Lugano	2:0
16.03.24	Lugano - Yverdon	2:0
25.11.23	Yverdon - Lugano	0:5
13.08.23	Lugano - Yverdon	6:1

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