Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium (Sumqayit)

Referee: Hajiyev F. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Sumgayit		Qarabağ Agdam

	1	X	2
	7.00	4.80	1.32
	6.8	4.7	1.31	Watch
	8.83	5.3	1.29
	7.72	5.13	1.31	Watch
	8.7	5.2	1.27
	8.55	4.9	1.28
	7.4	5	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.86 ↑ (7.11)	5 ↑ (4.76)	1.3 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumgayit
11.6%

Draw
18.2%

Qarabağ Agdam
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.8%

19.1%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumgayit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Farzullayev K. (G) 17. Ahmadzada N. 42. Badolo C. 3. Haqverdi H. (C) 11. Jankovic A. 9. Jeam 55. Lucas Black 75. Orucov N. 5. Renan Santana 4. Suliman E. 10. Vasquez R.	99. Kochalski M. (G) 19. Ismaheel T. 20. Kady Borges (C) 5. Langa B. 88. Lobato S. 25. Makreckis C. 2. Matheus Silva 7. Mouaddib J. 35. Pedro Bicalho 22. Qurbanly M. 4. Varkonyi B.
Substitutes
34. Abbasly U. (G) 7. Ahmadzada R. 12. Arikhov A. (G) 80. Keffel 29. Mustafaev E. 97. Pashayev V. 20. Suleymanly A. 21. Tiago Almeida	49. Bashirov A. 32. Cabrayilzada H. 33. Diego Rosa 55. Huseynov B. 8. Jankovic M. 21. Kashchuk O. 30. Khadra R. 1. Mahammadaliyev S. (G) 10. Montiel J. 13. Mustafazada B.
Coaches
Candido F.	Qurbanov Q.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Lobato S. 🟨,
32', Kady Borges 🟥,
45', 0 - 1, Mouaddib J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lobato S. ↓, Jankovic M. ↑,
60', Orucov N. ↓, Tiago Almeida ↑,
60', Vasquez R. ↓, Ahmadzada R. ↑,
61', Qurbanly M. ↓, Kashchuk O. ↑,
76', Jankovic A. ↓, Mustafaev E. ↑,
76', Renan Santana ↓, Keffel ↑,
77', Ahmadzada R. 🟨,
80', Ismaheel T. ↓, Huseynov B. ↑,
88', Haqverdi H. ↓, Suleymanly A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 1.

In recent matches, Qarabağ has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sumgayit may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Qarabağ is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sumgayit won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 11:57. (average 0.6:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sumgayit won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 7:32. (average 0.7:3.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Qarabag	5	4	1	0	9:4	5	13

Last Results with these Odds

Qarabağ Agdam - the odds 1.33 are the expected chance of winning is 68.13%, but this team recently wins 83% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumgayit FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
16.08.26	Sumgayit - Neftchi Baku	1:3 ✺
22.05.26	Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam	3:4 ✺
17.05.26	Zira - Sumgayit	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Sumgayit - Araz Naxçıvan	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Kapaz - Sumgayit	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWL
- FK Qarabağ Agdam
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Twente	1:4 AET ✺
20.08.26	Twente - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
17.08.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Dynamo Kyiv	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Dynamo Kyiv - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
22.05.26	Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam	3:4
21.11.25	Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam	2:4
22.08.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Sumgayit	0:1
04.05.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Sumgayit	2:0
03.03.25	Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam	0:2
16.12.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Sumgayit	5:0
06.10.24	Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1

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