Match Info

Premier League - Round 25

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Tovuz şəhər stadionu (Tovuz)

Referee: Aliyev A. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Kapaz		Qarabağ Agdam

	1	X	2
	9.4	5.5	1.22	Watch
	11.12	6.59	1.21
	10.42	5.04	1.26	Watch
	10.3	5.95	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.31 ↓ (10.85)	5.77 ↑ (5.41)	1.22 ↓ (1.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kapaz
8.9%

Draw
15.9%

Qarabağ Agdam
75.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

8.5%

17%

74.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kapaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Kapaz - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +2 - Kapaz (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Qarabağ (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kapaz (votes: 1 - 50%). Qarabağ (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Imanov Y. (G) 4. Abuladze M. 12. Ba M. 14. Fofana A. 11. Haciyev R. 5. Huseynli R. 77. Nabiyev F. 24. Onanuga O. 9. Pachu 7. Shahverdiyev E. 29. Verdasca D. (C)	99. Kochalski M. (G) 44. Cafarquliyev E. 18. Dani Bolt 17. Duran C. 8. Jankovic M. 20. Kady Borges 15. Leandro Andrade 2. Matheus Silva 81. Medina K. 35. Pedro Bicalho 10. Zoubir A. (C)
Substitutes
20. Abilov E. 66. Atakishiyev A. 81. Bayramov E. (G) 6. Cafarov C. 22. Huseynov M. (G) 80. Ismayilov S. 23. Kalantarov F. 30. Quliyev R. 99. Samadov A. 17. Samadov U. 88. Seyidov S. 21. Shafiyev S.	11. Addai E. 27. Bayramov T. 97. Buntic F. (G) 32. Cabrayilzada H. 24. Gnali J. 30. Huseynov A. 55. Huseynov B. 21. Kashchuk O. 9. Montiel J. 22. Qurbanly M. 89. Ramazanov A. (G) 77. Sheydayev R.
Coaches
Bagirov A.	Qurbanov Q.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', Jankovic M. 🟨,
38', Shahverdiyev E. 🟨,
44', Shahverdiyev E. ↓, Cafarov C. ↑,
45+1', 1 - 0, Nabiyev F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Pedro Bicalho 🟨,
62', Dani Bolt ↓, Bayramov T. ↑,
62', Pedro Bicalho ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,
62', Jankovic M. ↓, Montiel J. ↑,
71', Ba M. ↓, Seyidov S. ↑,
71', Haciyev R. ↓, Samadov U. ↑,
80', Imanov Y. 🟨,
82', Cafarquliyev E. ↓, Addai E. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 1.

In recent matches, Kapaz has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Qarabağ is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Qarabağ is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kapaz won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 10:45. (average 0.5:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kapaz won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 3:19. (average 0.3:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Qarabag	5	4	1	0	9:4	5	13
7	Kapaz	5	2	1	2	4:7	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Kapaz
Azerbaijan Premier League
15.03.26	Kapaz - Turan Tovuz	1:1 ✺
09.03.26	Zira - Kapaz	2:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
05.03.26	Kapaz - Turan Tovuz	0:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
27.02.26	Kapaz - Sumgayit	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Sabah - Kapaz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TTLWL
- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
14.03.26	Zira - Qarabağ Agdam	1:3 ✺
08.03.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Araz Naxçıvan	6:0 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
04.03.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi	3:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
01.03.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah	3:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.02.26	Newcastle United - Qarabağ Agdam	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
24.01.26	Qarabağ Agdam - Kapaz	0:2
04.10.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Kapaz	1:0
18.05.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Kapaz	3:0
15.03.25	Kapaz - Qarabağ Agdam	0:0
18.10.24	Kapaz - Qarabağ Agdam	0:5
09.08.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Kapaz	3:0
29.03.24	Kapaz - Qarabağ Agdam	1:6

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