Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 38

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Bognor Regis Town		Potters Bar Town

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.7	2.55
	2.21	3.8	2.6
	2.2	3.95	2.63
	2.22	3.68	2.66
	2.21	3.8	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.22)	3.79 ↑ (3.79)	2.61 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bognor Regis Town
41.2%

Draw
24%

Potters Bar Town
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

24%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

22.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bognor Regis Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Potters Bar Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bognor Regis Town than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Potters Bar Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Bognor Regis Town - Potters Bar Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 1 - 0, Dion Jarvis ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bognor Regis won 1.

Bognor Regis is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Potters Bar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Potters Bar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Potters Bar have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Bognor Regis won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:16 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Bognor Regis won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:10 (average 1.4:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Bognor Regis Town - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.02%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bognor Regis Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.03.25	Whitehawk - Bognor Regis Town	3:0 ✺
22.03.25	Bognor Regis Town - Dartford	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Chatham Town - Bognor Regis Town	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Bognor Regis Town - Folkestone Invicta	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Carshalton Athletic - Bognor Regis Town	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLTLT
- Potters Bar Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.03.25	Potters Bar Town - Hashtag United	1:5 ✺
22.03.25	Potters Bar Town - Canvey Island	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Chichester City - Potters Bar Town	1:2 ✺
11.03.25	Potters Bar Town - Dulwich Hamlet	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Potters Bar Town - Cray Valley Paper Mills	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.12.24	Potters Bar Town - Bognor Regis Town	1:1
24.02.24	Bognor Regis Town - Potters Bar Town	2:2
30.09.23	Potters Bar Town - Bognor Regis Town	1:1
21.03.23	Potters Bar Town - Bognor Regis Town	0:2
27.08.22	Bognor Regis Town - Potters Bar Town	1:2
22.01.22	Bognor Regis Town - Potters Bar Town	2:0
18.09.21	Potters Bar Town - Bognor Regis Town	2:2

Bognor Regis Town - Potters Bar Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide