Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 28

Date: 30 January 2024, Tuesday


	Folkestone Invicta		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.49
	5.5	4.2	1.47
	5.3	4.05	1.45
	5.04	4.58	1.51
	5.5	4	1.4
	5.46	4.2	1.48
	5.5	4.2	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.36 ↑ (4.84)	4.18 ↑ (4.1)	1.47 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folkestone Invicta
16.8%

Draw
21.6%

Hornchurch
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

22.3%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

21.9%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folkestone Invicta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Folkestone Invicta - Hornchurch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Folkestone won 0.

Recent matches Folkestone is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hornchurch is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hornchurch could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hornchurch have a series of guest games.

In this match Hornchurch is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Folkestone won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Folkestone won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Folkestone Invicta
English Isthmian League Premier Division
27.01.24	Folkestone Invicta - Carshalton Athletic	3:3 ✺
23.01.24	Canvey Island - Folkestone Invicta	2:1 ✺
20.01.24	Haringey Borough - Folkestone Invicta	0:0 ✺
13.01.24	Enfield Town - Folkestone Invicta	0:2 ✺
06.01.24	Folkestone Invicta - Wingate & Finchley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TLTWT
- AFC Hornchurch
English Isthmian League Premier Division
27.01.24	Enfield Town - Hornchurch	1:2 ✺
16.01.24	Billericay Town - Hornchurch	1:1 ✺
13.01.24	Carshalton Athletic - Hornchurch	2:2 ✺
06.01.24	Hornchurch - Horsham	1:1 ✺
01.01.24	Hashtag United - Hornchurch	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.10.23	Hornchurch - Folkestone Invicta	4:2
04.02.23	Folkestone Invicta - Hornchurch	1:2
06.12.22	Hornchurch - Folkestone Invicta	2:1
12.02.22	Hornchurch - Folkestone Invicta	4:1
02.11.21	Folkestone Invicta - Hornchurch	0:0
03.11.20	Folkestone Invicta - Hornchurch	2:1
28.01.20	Folkestone Invicta - Hornchurch	2:1

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