Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 16

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday


	Bognor Regis Town		Carshalton Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.5	2.2
	2.7	3.6	2.22
	2.73	3.75	2.22
	2.74	3.74	2.19
	2.4	3.6	2.4
	2.76	3.52	2.21
	2.7	3.6	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.47)	3.62 ↑ (3.48)	2.24 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bognor Regis Town
34.2%

Draw
25.2%

Carshalton Athletic
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

25.9%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

26%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bognor Regis Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Carshalton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bognor Regis Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Bognor Regis Town - Carshalton Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Higgs T. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, Bradford T. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bognor Regis won 1.

Bognor Regis is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Carshalton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carshalton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Bognor Regis won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22:21 (average 1.7:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Bognor Regis won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.9:1.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Carshalton Athletic - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.58%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bognor Regis Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.11.24	Lewes - Bognor Regis Town	4:1 ✺
09.11.24	Bowers & Pitsea - Bognor Regis Town	0:1 ✺
02.11.24	Bognor Regis Town - Cheshunt	0:4 ✺
19.10.24	Bognor Regis Town - Cray Valley Paper Mills	2:3 ✺
12.10.24	Bognor Regis Town - Canvey Island	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLLL
- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.11.24	Carshalton Athletic - Billericay Town	4:3 ✺
05.11.24	Wingate & Finchley - Carshalton Athletic	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Carshalton Athletic - Folkestone Invicta	2:1 ✺
22.10.24	Canvey Island - Carshalton Athletic	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Carshalton Athletic - Hendon	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
13.04.24	Carshalton Athletic - Bognor Regis Town	3:3
15.08.23	Bognor Regis Town - Carshalton Athletic	3:3
13.02.23	Carshalton Athletic - Bognor Regis Town	2:1
13.09.22	Bognor Regis Town - Carshalton Athletic	3:3
14.03.22	Carshalton Athletic - Bognor Regis Town	0:1
11.09.21	Bognor Regis Town - Carshalton Athletic	1:0
06.10.20	Bognor Regis Town - Carshalton Athletic	2:1

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