Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 22

Date: 26 December 2024, Thursday

Location: The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium (Horsham)


	Horsham		Bognor Regis Town

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.1	4.2
	1.57	4.3	4.3
	1.55	4.79	4.25
	1.56	4.61	4.37
	1.6	4	4.2
	1.55	4.15	4.7
	1.57	4.3	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.62)	4.32 ↑ (3.88)	4.33 ↓ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horsham
58%

Draw
21%

Bognor Regis Town
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

23.4%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

21%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Bognor Regis Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Horsham that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bognor Regis Town than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Horsham - Bognor Regis Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Dickson C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, Hammond J. ⚽,
52', 2 - 1, Mather J. ⚽,
80', Barker D. R. 🟥,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Horsham won 3.

Recent matches Horsham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bognor Regis has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Horsham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Horsham is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Horsham won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:16 (average 1.5:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Horsham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.7:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horsham FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.12.24	Canvey Island - Horsham	0:1 ✺
17.12.24	Horsham - Dartford	1:3 ✺
14.12.24	Horsham - Cheshunt	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.12.24	Torquay United - Horsham	2:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
03.12.24	Billericay Town - Horsham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLL
- Bognor Regis Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.12.24	Potters Bar Town - Bognor Regis Town	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Bognor Regis Town - Whitehawk	2:3 ✺
07.12.24	Dartford - Bognor Regis Town	4:0 ✺
30.11.24	Bognor Regis Town - Chatham Town	1:7 ✺
23.11.24	Folkestone Invicta - Bognor Regis Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.04.24	Horsham - Bognor Regis Town	5:4
26.12.23	Bognor Regis Town - Horsham	2:0
26.12.22	Bognor Regis Town - Horsham	0:2
29.08.22	Horsham - Bognor Regis Town	4:0
15.01.22	Bognor Regis Town - Horsham	2:2
14.09.21	Horsham - Bognor Regis Town	1:1
29.09.20	Horsham - Bognor Regis Town	0:1

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