Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 37

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Whitehawk		Bognor Regis Town

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.6	2.5
	2.18	3.7	2.7
	2.15	3.82	2.77
	2.18	3.64	2.74
	2.18	3.7	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.93)	3.69 ↑ (3.49)	2.68 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Whitehawk
41.5%

Draw
24.6%

Bognor Regis Town
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

26.2%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

25.2%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Whitehawk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Whitehawk's form might have worsened.

Bognor Regis Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bognor Regis Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Whitehawk than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Whitehawk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bognor Regis Town than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bognor Regis Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Whitehawk - Bognor Regis Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Nandhra J. ⚽,
53', 2 - 0, Okonkwo G. ⚽,
67', 3 - 0, Nandhra J. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 16 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Whitehawk won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Whitehawk won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:18 (average 2:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Whitehawk won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:8 (average 2.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Whitehawk
English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.03.25	Whitehawk - Carshalton Athletic	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Folkestone Invicta - Whitehawk	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Whitehawk - Chatham Town	0:2 ✺
01.03.25	Wingate & Finchley - Whitehawk	3:1 ✺
22.02.25	Whitehawk - Canvey Island	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLLW
- Bognor Regis Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.03.25	Bognor Regis Town - Dartford	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Chatham Town - Bognor Regis Town	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Bognor Regis Town - Folkestone Invicta	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Carshalton Athletic - Bognor Regis Town	4:4 ✺
22.02.25	Bognor Regis Town - Bowers & Pitsea	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.12.24	Bognor Regis Town - Whitehawk	2:3
19.03.24	Bognor Regis Town - Whitehawk	2:2
24.10.23	Whitehawk - Bognor Regis Town	3:2
22.04.19	Bognor Regis Town - Whitehawk	0:0
01.01.19	Whitehawk - Bognor Regis Town	1:4
English National League South
06.01.18	Whitehawk - Bognor Regis Town	2:2
15.08.17	Bognor Regis Town - Whitehawk	6:2

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