Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday


	Boiro		UD Ourense

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.4	1.63
	3.6	3.5	1.87
				Watch
	3.91	3.23	1.98
	3.6	3.5	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↓ (4.9)	3.41 ↓ (3.45)	1.84 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boiro
23.1%

Draw
26.9%

UD Ourense
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

26.4%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

25.9%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boiro than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Ourense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Boiro - UD Ourense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Guisande A. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Boiro is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

UD Ourense is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

UD Ourense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Boiro have a series of guest games.

In this match UD Ourense is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Boiro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Boiro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
16.03.25	Betanzos - Boiro	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	RC Villalbes - Boiro	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Boiro - Noia	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Viveiro - Boiro	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Alondras - Boiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLTWT
- UD Ourense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
15.03.25	UD Ourense - Villalonga	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	UD Ourense - Arosa	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Atlético Arteixo - UD Ourense	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	UD Ourense - Barbadás	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Polvorín - UD Ourense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
09.11.24	UD Ourense - Boiro	4:3

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