Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday


	UD Ourense		Arosa

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.7
	1.92	3.04	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.82)	3.07 ↓ (3.25)	3.8 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

UD Ourense
47.1%

Draw
29.3%

Arosa
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

27.1%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

UD Ourense - Arosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
71', 1 - 0, Guisande A. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches UD Ourense won 2.

UD Ourense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Arosa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently UD Ourense have a series of guest games.

In this match UD Ourense is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches UD Ourense won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:14 (average 0.9:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams UD Ourense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ourense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
23.02.25	Atlético Arteixo - UD Ourense	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	UD Ourense - Barbadás	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Polvorín - UD Ourense	2:2 ✺
19.01.25	Noia - UD Ourense	1:2 ✺
12.01.25	Viveiro - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWTWT
- Arosa SC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
23.02.25	Arosa - Betanzos	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Polvorín - Arosa	2:3 ✺
09.02.25	Arosa - RC Villalbes	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Noia - Arosa	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Sarriana - Arosa	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
20.10.24	Arosa - UD Ourense	0:0
26.05.24	Arosa - UD Ourense	1:2 ET
19.05.24	UD Ourense - Arosa	2:2
21.04.24	UD Ourense - Arosa	4:1
02.12.23	Arosa - UD Ourense	1:0
07.05.23	Arosa - UD Ourense	3:0
01.05.23	UD Ourense - Arosa	0:0

Upcoming Matches