The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bolton Wanderers 67.3%
Draw 20%
Shrewsbury Town 12.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.2%
21%
11.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.5%
20.3%
11.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
10%
10%
Bolton Wanderers - Shrewsbury Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
Bolton Wanderers will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Southwood L. (G) 18. Toal E. 5. Santos R. 6. Johnston G. 12. Dacres-Cogley J. 22. Dempsey K. 8. Sheehan J. 4. Thomason G. (C) 23. Schon S. 10. Charles D. 9. Adeboyejo V.
1. Savin T. (G) 5. Feeney M. (C) 16. Pierre A. 6. Feeney J. 17. Gilliead A. 4. Rossiter J. 12. Ojo F. 23. Nurse G. 26. Shipley J. 27. Marquis J. 9. Lloyd G.
Substitutes
37. Arfield S. 19. Collins A. 40. Hutchinson L. (G) 17. Lolos K. 28. Matete J. 45. McAtee J. 27. Williams R.
3. Benning M. 18. Bloxham T. 19. Castledine L. 2. Hoole L. 29. O'Reilly T. 14. Perry T. 11. Sagoe Jr C.
Coaches
Evatt I.
Hurst P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
15', Pierre A. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Feeney J. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Shipley J. ⚽, Ojo F. (A),
34', Feeney J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 2, Dempsey K. ⚽, Charles D. (A),
53', Shipley J. ↓, Castledine L. ↑,
61', 2 - 2, Schon S. ⚽, Dempsey K. (A),
66', Nurse G. ↓, Benning M. ↑,
66', Savin T. 🟨,
77', Adeboyejo V. ↓, Collins A. ↑,
77', Charles D. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
78', Gilliead A. 🟨,
78', Ojo F. 🟨,
85', Marquis J. ↓, Perry T. ↑,
86', Sheehan J. ↓, Matete J. ↑,
86', Schon S. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
90+1', Dempsey K. ↓, Arfield S. ↑,
Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bolton won 3.
Recent matches Bolton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Shrewsbury has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Shrewsbury could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Bolton is certain favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Bolton won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21:11 (average 1.8:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.6:1).