Match Info

SCOTLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 20

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday


	Bonnyrigg Rose		Dumbarton

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.5	2.2
	2.65	3.25	2.25
	2.85	3.4	2.3
	2.98	3.46	2.31
	2.98	3.46	2.31
	2.7	3.3	2.25
	2.93	3.56	2.24
	2.75	3.35	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.75)	3.41 ↓ (3.5)	2.27 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bonnyrigg Rose
32.4%

Draw
27%

Dumbarton
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

26.1%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

25.1%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bonnyrigg Rose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

The chances for Dumbarton have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bonnyrigg Rose than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dumbarton than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Bonnyrigg Rose - Dumbarton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin P. (G) 2. Mailer A. 3. Martyniuk N. 4. Young K. 16. Peggie R. 11. Gray R. 10. Currie L. 21. Barrett B. 8. Stewart J. 9. McGachie K. 17. Doan C.	19. Hogarth J. (G) 12. Pignatiello C. 26. Crighton S. (C) 21. Newbury C. 22. Shiels M. 7. Orsi K. 18. Gray F. 4. Malcolm B. 14. Wallace T. 10. Byrne D. 17. Hilton J.
Substitutes
25. Andrews M. (G) 7. Buchanan L. 22. Connolly C. 15. Grigor J. 12. McGale R. 20. Osadolor S. 18. Watson D.	6. Blair R. 27. Kelly M. 2. Lynas A. 16. O'Neil P. (G) 23. Ruth M. 15. Vata L. 9. Wallace R. 8. Wilson D.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bonnyrigg won 0.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Dumbarton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Bonnyrigg have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Bonnyrigg won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Bonnyrigg won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bonnyrigg Rose
Scottish League Two
06.01.24	Clyde - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:2 ✺
22.12.23	East Fife - Bonnyrigg Rose	0:3 ✺
16.12.23	Stranraer - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:1 ✺
09.12.23	Bonnyrigg Rose - Peterhead	1:1 ✺
02.12.23	Stenhousemuir - Bonnyrigg Rose	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLTL
- Dumbarton
Scottish League Two
09.01.24	Peterhead - Dumbarton	3:1 ✺
06.01.24	Dumbarton - East Fife	1:2 ✺
23.12.23	Dumbarton - Clyde	4:4 ✺
16.12.23	Forfar Athletic - Dumbarton	2:4 ✺
09.12.23	Dumbarton - Stenhousemuir	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
04.11.23	Dumbarton - Bonnyrigg Rose	4:0
05.08.23	Bonnyrigg Rose - Dumbarton	1:1
Scottish League Cup
22.07.23	Dumbarton - Bonnyrigg Rose	1:0 penalties
Scottish League Two
15.04.23	Bonnyrigg Rose - Dumbarton	0:2
28.01.23	Dumbarton - Bonnyrigg Rose	1:0
03.12.22	Bonnyrigg Rose - Dumbarton	1:1
17.09.22	Dumbarton - Bonnyrigg Rose	1:0

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