Match Info

League Two - Round 24

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Station Park (Forfar)


	Forfar Athletic		Dumbarton

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.5
	2.38	3.35	2.68
	2.47	3.42	2.67
	2.22	3.76	2.7	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.63
	2.51	3.46	2.62
	2.4	3.33	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.12)	3.41 ↑ (3.34)	2.62 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forfar Athletic
38.1%

Draw
26.9%

Dumbarton
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

27.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

26.3%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forfar Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Dumbarton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dumbarton's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forfar Athletic than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forfar Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dumbarton than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dumbarton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Forfar Athletic - Dumbarton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McCallum M. (G) 2. Lynas A. 6. Dolzanski J. 5. Allan M. 22. Bright S. 14. Mailer A. 8. Slater C. 24. Wilson C. 19. Sutherland J. 26. Alston B. 10. Rennie M.	1. Long B. (G) 24. Doyle M. 5. Durnan M. 3. Omar A. 27. Kirkpatrick K. 12. Brown A. 8. Todd J. 16. Joseph T. 6. Blair R. 21. Honeyman S. 15. McIntosh L.
Substitutes
12. Cannon N. 25. Haddow A. 15. Lemon M. 21. Munn M. (G) 17. Richardson J. 9. Shepherd S. 3. Strachan M. 16. Whatley M.	9. Duncan J. 20. Gilfedder A. 28. Kelly S. (G) 14. Livingstone A. 23. Neill M. 10. Roy A. 25. Walker G. 11. Wallace T. 4. Webster K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Mailer A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Rennie M. ⚽, Dolzanski J. (A),
67', Brown A. ↓, Webster K. ↑,
67', Durnan M. ↓, Roy A. ↑,
67', Joseph T. ↓, Wallace T. ↑,
74', McIntosh L. 🟨,
74', Alston B. ↓, Shepherd S. ↑,
74', Blair R. ↓, Duncan J. ↑,
80', Wilson C. ↓, Strachan M. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Dolzanski J. ⚽,
90', Rennie M. ↓, Haddow A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forfar won 1.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Forfar could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Forfar won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:33. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Forfar won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).

Outrights of Scottish League Two for now

Dumbarton: 3.97% Forfar Athletic: 3.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Dumbarton	9	4	0	5	10:15	-5	12
7	Forfar Athletic	9	3	2	4	9:15	-6	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forfar Athletic
Scottish League Two
31.01.26	East Kilbride - Forfar Athletic	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Forfar Athletic - Stirling Albion	0:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.01.26	Queens Park - Forfar Athletic	2:0 ✺
Scottish League Two
10.01.26	Forfar Athletic - Stranraer	2:2 ✺
03.01.26	Clyde - Forfar Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLTT
- Dumbarton
Scottish League Two
31.01.26	Dumbarton - Edinburgh City	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Dumbarton - Elgin City	2:2 ✺
03.01.26	Spartans - Dumbarton	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Dumbarton - Stirling Albion	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Stranraer - Dumbarton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
22.11.25	Dumbarton - Forfar Athletic	1:4
13.09.25	Forfar Athletic - Dumbarton	2:3
06.04.24	Forfar Athletic - Dumbarton	0:2
10.02.24	Dumbarton - Forfar Athletic	2:2
16.12.23	Forfar Athletic - Dumbarton	2:4
19.08.23	Dumbarton - Forfar Athletic	3:1
29.03.23	Dumbarton - Forfar Athletic	0:1

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