Match Info

SCOTLAND: League Two - Round 25

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: MGM Timber Bayview Stadium (Methil)


	East Fife		Bonnyrigg Rose

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	5.5
	1.59	3.7	4.7
	1.63	3.91	5.09
	1.58	3.83	5.15
	1.6	3.9	5.5
	1.58	3.92	5.13
	1.59	3.7	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.62)	3.81 ↓ (3.83)	5.11 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

East Fife
57.9%

Draw
24.1%

Bonnyrigg Rose
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

23.7%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

22.5%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

East Fife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Bonnyrigg Rose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Fife than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bonnyrigg Rose than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

East Fife - Bonnyrigg Rose Predictions

Users Predictions: East Fife will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. McFarlane L. (G) 6. McManus C. 5. Easton B. 19. Munro A. 15. Peggie R. 7. Norey J. 18. Higginbotham K. 22. McKenna M. 10. Trouten A. 11. Healy J. 14. Austin N.	1. McNeil A. (G) 2. Mailer A. 4. Young K. (C) 3. Martyniuk N. 20. Lennon G. 7. Ferrie M. 6. Murphy S. 22. Connolly C. 10. Currie L. 11. Barrett B. 19. Ross C.
Substitutes
20. Bah M. 1. Fleming A. (G) 23. Jones R. 16. Laaref A. 3. Newton L. 9. Shepherd S. 8. Slattery P.	25. Andrews M. (G) 8. Arnott A. 9. McGachie K. 18. Somerville K. 16. Stenhouse L. 24. Watson B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Young K. ↓, Somerville K. ↑,
28', Martyniuk N. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Ross C. ⚽, Barrett B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', McKenna M. 🟨,
68', Healy J. ↓, Laaref A. ↑,
73', Ferrie M. ↓, Watson B. ↑,
79', Peggie R. ↓, Newton L. ↑,
79', Higginbotham K. ↓, Jones R. ↑,
85', Connolly C. 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, Trouten A. (Pen),
90+4', Ross C. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches East Fife won 2.

East Fife is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bonnyrigg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

East Fife could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match East Fife is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's East Fife to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Last 10 head-to-head matches East Fife won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:17 (average 1.6:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams East Fife won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1.2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- East Fife
Scottish League Two
08.02.25	Spartans - East Fife	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Elgin City - East Fife	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	East Fife - Edinburgh City	4:1 ✺
18.01.25	Stranraer - East Fife	0:2 ✺
11.01.25	East Fife - Clyde	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWW
- Bonnyrigg Rose
Scottish League Two
08.02.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Peterhead	3:4 ✺
04.02.25	Elgin City - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:0 ✺
01.02.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Clyde	2:1 ✺
28.01.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Stranraer	3:1 ✺
25.01.25	Stirling Albion - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
30.11.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - East Fife	1:1
05.10.24	East Fife - Bonnyrigg Rose	5:0
13.04.24	East Fife - Bonnyrigg Rose	1:4
17.02.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - East Fife	0:2
22.12.23	East Fife - Bonnyrigg Rose	0:3
21.11.23	Bonnyrigg Rose - East Fife	4:2
18.03.23	Bonnyrigg Rose - East Fife	1:1

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