Match Info

SCOTLAND: League Two - Round 26

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: New Dundas Park (Bonnyrigg)


	Bonnyrigg Rose		Forfar Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.88
	2.31	3.05	2.85
	2.48	3.22	2.85
	2.38	3.21	2.8
	2.25	3.25	3.1
	2.4	3.22	2.81
	2.31	3.05	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.12)	3.14 ↓ (3.18)	2.88 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bonnyrigg Rose
39%

Draw
29.1%

Forfar Athletic
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

28.4%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

27.3%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bonnyrigg Rose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Forfar Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bonnyrigg Rose than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bonnyrigg Rose, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forfar Athletic than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Bonnyrigg Rose - Forfar Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McNeil A. (G) 2. Mailer A. 4. Young K. (C) 3. Martyniuk N. 20. Lennon G. 22. Connolly C. 21. Porteous R. 6. Murphy S. 11. Barrett B. 10. Currie L. 19. Ross C.	1. McCallum M. (G) 2. Logan C. 5. Allan M. 23. Young S. 24. Lemon M. 18. McAllister R. 4. Morrison S. (C) 20. Slater C. 11. Inglis K. 12. Denholm D. 19. Cannon N.
Substitutes
25. Andrews M. (G) 8. Arnott A. 7. Ferrie M. 9. McGachie K. 18. Somerville K. 16. Stenhouse L. 24. Watson B.	15. Byrne D. 6. Hutchinson A. 7. MacLean R. 8. Malcolm B. 21. Paris Z. (G) 16. Robson F. 22. Rodden B. 17. Taylor M. 10. Whatley M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Inglis K. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, McAllister R. ⚽, McCallum M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Inglis K. ↓, Malcolm B. ↑,
46', Porteous R. ↓, Ferrie M. ↑,
59', Young K. 🟨,
60', Young K. ↓, Somerville K. ↑,
61', Connolly C. ↓, McGachie K. ↑,
68', McAllister R. ↓, Byrne D. ↑,
72', Lennon G. ↓, Watson B. ↑,
78', Denholm D. ↓, Rodden B. ↑,
79', Ross C. 🟨,
81', 0 - 2, Somerville K. (Own goal),
82', Mailer A. ↓, Stenhouse L. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bonnyrigg won 1.

Recent matches Bonnyrigg is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Forfar has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bonnyrigg will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Bonnyrigg won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.2:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Bonnyrigg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bonnyrigg Rose
Scottish League Two
15.02.25	East Fife - Bonnyrigg Rose	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Peterhead	3:4 ✺
04.02.25	Elgin City - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:0 ✺
01.02.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Clyde	2:1 ✺
28.01.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Stranraer	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLLWW
- Forfar Athletic
Scottish League Two
15.02.25	Stirling Albion - Forfar Athletic	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Forfar Athletic - Edinburgh City	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Peterhead - Forfar Athletic	2:2 ✺
25.01.25	Forfar Athletic - Stranraer	0:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
18.01.25	Cove Rangers - Forfar Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
14.12.24	Forfar Athletic - Bonnyrigg Rose	5:1
28.09.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Forfar Athletic	0:1
04.05.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Forfar Athletic	4:0
27.01.24	Forfar Athletic - Bonnyrigg Rose	0:0
18.11.23	Bonnyrigg Rose - Forfar Athletic	0:2
26.08.23	Forfar Athletic - Bonnyrigg Rose	1:2
22.04.23	Forfar Athletic - Bonnyrigg Rose	0:1

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