Match Info

SCOTLAND: League Two - Round 20

Date: 28 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: New Dundas Park (Bonnyrigg)


	Bonnyrigg Rose		Stranraer

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.1
	2.15	3.1	2.9
	2.13	2.95	2.9
	2.24	3.22	3.26
	2.18	3.27	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.2
	2.19	3.24	3.16
	2.13	2.95	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.14)	3.15 ↓ (3.27)	3.07 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bonnyrigg Rose
41.7%

Draw
28.8%

Stranraer
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28.2%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

28.1%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bonnyrigg Rose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Stranraer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bonnyrigg Rose than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Bonnyrigg Rose - Stranraer Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bonnyrigg will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Stranraer will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin P. (G) 2. Mailer A. 4. Young K. (C) 3. Martyniuk N. 20. Lennon G. 6. Murphy S. 10. Currie L. 7. Ferrie M. 21. Porteous R. 11. Barrett B. 19. Ross C.	13. Lane J. (G) 22. McIntosh S. 5. Ross C. (C) 26. Reid L. 19. Ecrepont F. 11. Russell M. 2. Robertson S. 16. Quigg A. 10. Dunlop E. 21. Foster R. 18. Guthrie M.
Substitutes
25. Andrews M. (G) 8. Arnott A. 22. Connolly C. 9. McGachie K. 24. Scarborough B. 15. Smutek K. 16. Stenhouse L.	3. Brindley T. 6. Docherty S. 25. Edgar R. 8. Gallagher G. 23. Grant M. 1. Kane S. (G) 17. McKnight K. 20. Trialist

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Barrett B. ⚽, Porteous R. (A),
36', 2 - 0, Martyniuk N. (Pen),
45', Ross C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 3 - 0, Ross C. (Own goal),
55', Foster R. ↓, Trialist ↑,
55', Guthrie M. ↓, Docherty S. ↑,
55', McIntosh S. ↓, Edgar R. ↑,
58', 3 - 1, Russell M. ⚽, Dunlop E. (A),
64', Quigg A. ↓, Grant M. ↑,
67', Ferrie M. ↓, Arnott A. ↑,
70', Barrett B. 🟨,
71', Porteous R. ↓, Connolly C. ↑,
83', Docherty S. 🟨,
84', Ross C. ↓, McGachie K. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bonnyrigg won 2.

Bonnyrigg is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Stranraer is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stranraer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bonnyrigg will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Bonnyrigg won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:12 (average 1.4:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Bonnyrigg won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bonnyrigg Rose
Scottish League Two
25.01.25	Stirling Albion - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:0 ✺
21.01.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Spartans	2:2 ✺
04.01.25	Edinburgh City - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:0 ✺
21.12.24	Peterhead - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Forfar Athletic - Bonnyrigg Rose	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- Stranraer FC
Scottish League Two
25.01.25	Forfar Athletic - Stranraer	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Stranraer - East Fife	0:2 ✺
14.01.25	Peterhead - Stranraer	1:0 ✺
28.12.24	Stranraer - Clyde	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Stirling Albion - Stranraer	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
16.11.24	Stranraer - Bonnyrigg Rose	1:2
31.08.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Stranraer	2:0
Scottish Challenge Cup
13.08.24	Stranraer - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:1
Scottish League Two
30.03.24	Stranraer - Bonnyrigg Rose	1:1
03.02.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Stranraer	0:0
16.12.23	Stranraer - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:1
19.08.23	Bonnyrigg Rose - Stranraer	1:1

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