The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Elgin City 46.8%
Draw 27.9%
Bonnyrigg Rose 25.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.9%
25.7%
22.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.1%
25.1%
21.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elgin City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elgin City's form might have worsened.
Bonnyrigg Rose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elgin City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bonnyrigg Rose than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.7%
8.3%
0%
Elgin City - Bonnyrigg Rose Predictions
Users Predictions:
Elgin City will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. McHale T. (G) 14. Girvan K. 8. Cameron B. 5. Dolzanski J. 3. Booth L. 17. Hyde L. 19. Gallagher M. 9. Golding D. 7. Dingwall R. 10. Sargent R. 22. Hester K.
1. Martin P. (G) 2. Mailer A. 4. Young K. 3. Martyniuk N. 20. Lennon G. 6. Murphy S. 10. Currie L. 7. Ferrie M. 21. Porteous R. 11. Barrett B. 19. Ross C.
Substitutes
15. Allen F. 12. Cairns O. 23. Draper R. 11. Leslie K. 27. MacDonald L. 4. MacEwan R. 16. MacIver J. 18. McDonald O. 21. Taylor C. (G)
25. Andrews M. (G) 8. Arnott A. 22. Connolly C. 9. McGachie K. 15. Smutek K. 16. Stenhouse L. 24. Watson B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Currie L. 🟨,
12', Golding D. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Hester K. ⚽, Dingwall R. (A),
42', Porteous R. 🟨,
45+1', Young K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, Dolzanski J. ⚽, Gallagher M. (A),
61', Murphy S. ↓, Arnott A. ↑,
61', Porteous R. ↓, Connolly C. ↑,
61', Sargent R. ↓, Leslie K. ↑,
62', Dolzanski J. 🟨,
66', Barrett B. ↓, Watson B. ↑,
66', Ferrie M. ↓, Stenhouse L. ↑,
68', Stenhouse L. 🟨,
74', Ross C. ↓, McGachie K. ↑,
79', 3 - 0, Hester K. ⚽, Gallagher M. (A),
82', Girvan K. ↓, Cairns O. ↑,
82', Golding D. ↓, McDonald O. ↑,
83', Hester K. ↓, MacIver J. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Elgin won 3.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Bonnyrigg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Elgin will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Elgin won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:16 (average 1.1:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Elgin won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.4:0.4).
Watch
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McHale T. (G) 
Golding D. 
Lennon G. 
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