Match Info

Carioca B1 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	São Cristóvão		Serrano FC

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.52	3
	2.55	2.68	2.88
	2.06	3.05	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.06)	2.75 ↓ (3.05)	3.13 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Cristóvão
37.9%

Draw
33%

Serrano FC
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

29.9%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

30.4%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Cristóvão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Cristóvão's form might have worsened.

Serrano FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Cristóvão than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Cristóvão, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serrano FC than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

São Cristóvão - Serrano FC Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Serrano (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 0 - 1, Eduardo ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca B1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca B1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In recent matches, São Cristóvão has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Serrano is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Serrano has had a series of home games.

São Cristóvão might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, São Cristóvão won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Cristóvão FR
Brazilian Carioca B1
15.11.25	Serrano FC - São Cristóvão	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Artsul - São Cristóvão	1:1 ✺
05.11.25	Serrano FC - São Cristóvão	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	São Cristóvão - Paduano	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	São Cristóvão - Friburguense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTTWW
- Serrano FC Petrópolis
Brazilian Carioca B1
15.11.25	Serrano FC - São Cristóvão	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Serrano FC - Bonsucesso	1:0 ✺
05.11.25	Serrano FC - São Cristóvão	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Artsul - Serrano FC	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Serrano FC - Petrópolis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca B1
15.11.25	Serrano FC - São Cristóvão	1:0
05.11.25	Serrano FC - São Cristóvão	2:2
28.09.24	Serrano FC - São Cristóvão	1:0

São Cristóvão - Serrano FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide