Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 26

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Matmut Atlantique (Bordeaux)

Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Bordeaux		Guingamp

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3	Watch
	2.35	3.2	3
	2.4	3.2	2.95	Watch
	2.46	3.2	3.12
	2.49	3.1	3.24
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.34	3.3	3.12	Watch
	2.29	3.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.07)	3.18 ↓ (3.39)	3.08 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux
39.9%

Draw
29.6%

Guingamp
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.4%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

26.9%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bordeaux, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	50%	20%

Bordeaux - Guingamp Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bordeaux will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Guingamp will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johnsson K. (G) 4. Bokele M. 34. Michelin C. 5. Barbet Y. (C) 14. Nsimba V. 20. Diaz P. 6. Ignatenko D. 10. Weissbeck G. 17. Elis A. 9. Vipotnik Z. 30. Davitashvili Z.	16. Basilio E. (G) 27. Sivis M. 7. Gomis D. 24. Lemonnier P. 31. Maronnier L. 22. Lobry V. 4. Louiserre D. (C) 10. Merghem M. 20. Picard H. 11. Sagna A. 9. El Ouazzani A.
Substitutes
19. Ekomie J. 7. Livolant J. 24. Marcelin J. 33. Njie N. 8. Sissokho I. 13. Straczek R. (G) 47. Vetro J.	29. Bonnet U. 21. Guillaume B. 19. Iglesias J. 23. Luvambo T. 15. Manceau V. 30. Niasse B. (G) 2. Roux B.
Coaches
Riera A.	Dumont S.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 2.

Bordeaux is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Guingamp is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bordeaux will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 30-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Bordeaux won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girondins de Bordeaux
French Ligue 2
19.02.24	Amiens - Bordeaux	1:1 ✺
10.02.24	Bordeaux - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Troyes - Bordeaux	2:1 ✺
29.01.24	Bordeaux - Angers	1:0 ✺
23.01.24	Bordeaux - Valenciennes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWLWW
- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
17.02.24	Guingamp - Caen	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Ajaccio - Guingamp	3:0 ✺
03.02.24	Guingamp - Annecy	1:4 ✺
27.01.24	Auxerre - Guingamp	1:1 ✺
23.01.24	Guingamp - Rodez	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
26.09.23	Guingamp - Bordeaux	0:0
03.04.23	Guingamp - Bordeaux	0:1
27.08.22	Bordeaux - Guingamp	0:1
French Ligue 1
20.02.19	Bordeaux - Guingamp	0:0
23.09.18	Guingamp - Bordeaux	1:3
01.04.18	Guingamp - Bordeaux	2:1
23.09.17	Bordeaux - Guingamp	3:1

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