Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 22

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre)

Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Auxerre		Guingamp

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	3.8	Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.9
	1.95	3.4	3.75	Watch
	2	3.35	3.95
	1.98	3.53	4.07
	1.85	3.5	3.7
	1.97	3.54	3.83	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.79)	3.44 ↓ (3.62)	3.85 ↓ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
48.4%

Draw
27.3%

Guingamp
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

26%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

25.4%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Auxerre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.7%	8.3%

Auxerre - Guingamp Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Guingamp will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Leon D. (G) 26. Joly P. 4. Jubal (C) 5. Pellenard T. 13. Akpa C. 18. Diousse A. 97. Raveloson R. 10. Perrin G. 7. Hein G. 75. Soumare I. 19. Aye F.	16. Basilio E. (G) 27. Sivis M. 7. Gomis D. 24. Lemonnier P. 31. Maronnier L. 10. Merghem M. 4. Louiserre D. 8. Sidibe K. 11. Sagna A. 9. El Ouazzani A. 21. Guillaume B.
Substitutes
6. Agouzoul S. 2. Dagba C. 35. Danois K. 40. De Percin T. (G) 11. Maddy E. 24. N'Gatta A. L. 45. Onaiwu A.	1. Bartouche T. (G) 19. Iglesias J. 22. Lobry V. 23. Luvambo T. 20. Picard H. 26. Riou M. 2. Roux B.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	Dumont S.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 0.

Auxerre is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guingamp is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Auxerre will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Auxerre won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 2
23.01.24	Grenoble - Auxerre	1:1 ✺
15.01.24	Auxerre - Bordeaux	3:1 ✺
Coupe De France
06.01.24	Nice - Auxerre	1:0 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
19.12.23	Laval - Auxerre	1:3 ✺
16.12.23	Auxerre - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWLWW
- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
23.01.24	Guingamp - Rodez	3:3 ✺
13.01.24	Quevilly - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
07.01.24	Guingamp - Rennes	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
19.12.23	Angers - Guingamp	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Guingamp - Concarneau	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
06.11.23	Guingamp - Auxerre	2:1
05.02.22	Guingamp - Auxerre	1:1
23.08.21	Auxerre - Guingamp	1:2
13.02.21	Auxerre - Guingamp	1:1
19.10.20	Guingamp - Auxerre	2:0
31.01.20	Guingamp - Auxerre	1:0
19.08.19	Auxerre - Guingamp	2:2

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