Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 25

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade de Roudourou (Guingamp)

Referee: Leprodhomme T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free


	Guingamp		Rodez

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	3.75	Watch
	1.8	3.7	4
	1.8	3.7	3.95	Watch
	1.82	3.94	4.27
	1.8	3.92	3.97	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4
	1.87	3.74	4	Watch
	1.94	3.6	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.96)	3.71 ↑ (3.6)	3.92 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guingamp
51.2%

Draw
25.1%

Rodez
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

25.8%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

25.8%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Guingamp - Rodez Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Rodez will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Ortola A. (G) 22. Sissoko A. 36. Demouchy A. 18. Nair S. 29. Abdallah A. 2. Koffi E. 4. Louiserre D. (C) 8. Sidibe K. 20. Hatchi J. 21. Demoncy Y. 9. Mafouta L.	1. Braat Q. (G) 25. Galves N. 24. Laurent L. 4. Magnin M. 3. Lipinski R. (C) 15. Jean-Lambert E. 26. Benchamma S. 6. Mendes J. 22. Joly O. 9. Nagera K. 11. Arconte T.
Substitutes
39. Ahile T. 1. Bartouche-Selbonne T. (G) 27. Kielt S. 37. Matondo T. 3. Matumona J. 17. Mbemba F. 11. Sagna A.	13. Issanchou Roubiou C. 5. Jolibois C. 16. Margueron L. (G) 28. Saka M. 19. Tebily H. 27. Trouillet A. 8. Younoussa W.
Coaches
Ripoll S.	Santini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Laurent L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Hatchi J. ↓, Mbemba F. ↑,
57', Koffi E. ↓, Sagna A. ↑,
57', Demoncy Y. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
65', Joly O. ↓, Younoussa W. ↑,
67', Sidibe K. ↓, Kielt S. ↑,
69', Mendes J. 🟨,
80', Mendes J. ↓, Trouillet A. ↑,
80', Jean-Lambert E. ↓, Jolibois C. ↑,
80', Benchamma S. ↓, Saka M. ↑,
89', Arconte T. ↓, Tebily H. ↑,
90+2', Galves N. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 2.

Guingamp has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rodez is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Guingamp may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Guingamp is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Guingamp: Hemia A. (Knee Injury) N'Landu D. (Knee Injury) Ott G. (Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive) Samoura A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Rodez: Achi M. (Inactive) Ponti R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Rodez: Younoussa W. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 2.2:1).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Guingamp: 2.2% Rodez: 1.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10:12	-2	8
14	Rodez	7	2	1	4	14:16	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
23.02.26	Le Mans - Guingamp	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Guingamp - Saint-Étienne	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Dunkerque - Guingamp	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Montpellier - Guingamp	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Guingamp - Troyes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLTLW
- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
20.02.26	Rodez - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Clermont - Rodez	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Boulogne - Rodez	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	Rodez - Red Star	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Nancy - Rodez	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
12.12.25	Rodez - Guingamp	2:1
17.01.25	Guingamp - Rodez	3:0
13.09.24	Rodez - Guingamp	1:2
23.01.24	Guingamp - Rodez	3:3
11.11.23	Rodez - Guingamp	0:0
28.01.23	Rodez - Guingamp	0:1
04.10.22	Guingamp - Rodez	0:0

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