Match Info

Date: 22 December 2021, Wednesday


	Bordeaux		Lille

	1	X	2
	4	3.8	1.83	Watch
	4.2	3.75	1.82
	4.4	3.7	1.8	Watch
	4.1	3.8	1.81
	4.43	3.83	1.86
	4.2	3.7	1.8
	4.45	4.05	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↑ (3.91)	3.8 ↑ (3.65)	1.83 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.4%, offered by

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Network on TV: One Soccer (Canada)

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux
22.5%

Draw
25.2%

Lille
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

26.2%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

21.1%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.9%	15.6%	72.5%

Bordeaux - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: 109 users predict this event. Bordeaux will win (votes: 13 - 11.9%). Lille will win (votes: 79 - 72.5%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 15.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 64.1% – 80.9%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 11).

Bordeaux has the most likely position - 17 (14.71%), has project points - 39, has currently - 17, has a chance of relegated (26%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lille has the most likely position - 4 (11.96%), has project points - 60, has currently - 25, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (18%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Bordeaux is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lille is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bordeaux could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lille is a favorite.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 20-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Bordeaux won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girondins de Bordeaux
Coupe De France
19.12.21	Bordeaux - Jumeaux de MZoisia	10:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
12.12.21	Troyes - Bordeaux	1:2 ✺
05.12.21	Bordeaux - Lyon	2:2 ✺
01.12.21	Strasbourg - Bordeaux	5:2 ✺
28.11.21	Bordeaux - Brest	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTLL
- OSC Lille
Coupe De France
18.12.21	Lille - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
12.12.21	Lille - Lyon	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.12.21	Wolfsburg - Lille	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
04.12.21	Lille - Troyes	2:1 ✺
01.12.21	Rennes - Lille	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
03.02.21	Bordeaux - Lille	0:3
13.12.20	Lille - Bordeaux	2:1
23.05.20	Bordeaux - Lille	Canceled
26.10.19	Lille - Bordeaux	3:0
12.05.19	Lille - Bordeaux	1:0
26.09.18	Bordeaux - Lille	1:0
07.04.18	Bordeaux - Lille	2:1

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