Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Roazhon Park (Rennes) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2
Argentina	16:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Bolivia	15:45	ESPN 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	16:45	Caze TV
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	03:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	20:45	Viaplay
Ecuador	14:45	ESPN 4
Finland	21:45	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	20:45	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	03:45	beIN Sports 3
Italy	20:45	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kenya	22:45	Gotv
Kosovo	20:45	ART Sport 5
Malta	20:45	TVM Sport+
Mexico	13:45	FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	20:45	Viaplay
Nigeria	20:45	Supersport Maximo 2
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	20:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:45	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	16:45	ESPN 4
Peru	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV5
Romania	21:45	Voyo
Russia	22:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 5
Slovakia	20:45	Nova Sport 3
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	21:45	SuperSport Variety 3
South Korea	04:45	Coupang Play
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	22:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	15:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter
International	19:45	Onefootball


	Rennes		Lille

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.28	3.2	3.35
	2.31	3.36	3.4
	2.23	3.22	3.4	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.1
	2.32	3.33	3.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.48)	3.27 ↓ (3.35)	3.36 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rennes
42.3%

Draw
29.2%

Lille
28.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28.2%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

30.2%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	20.4%	13%

Rennes - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 36 - 66.7%). Lille will win (votes: 7 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 20.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 54.1% – 79.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Rennes (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC - Rennes (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Rennes (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 12 - 75%). Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samba B. (G) 18. Nagida M. 24. Rouault A. 3. Brassier L. 26. Merlin Q. 10. Blas L. 21. Rongier V. (C) 45. Camara M. 11. Tamari M. 9. Lepaul E. 70. Nordin A.	1. Ozer B. (G) 12. Meunier T. 3. Ngoy N. 23. Mandi A. (C) 24. Verdonk C. 6. Bentaleb N. 32. Bouaddi A. 17. Mukau N. 10. Haraldsson H. 27. Correia F. 7. Fernandez-Pardo M.
Substitutes
48. Ait Boudlal A. 6. Cisse D. 7. Embolo B. 95. Frankowski P. 4. Kamara G. 36. Seidu A. 50. Silistrie M. (G) 17. Szymanski S. 77. Zabiri Y.	4. Alexsandro 16. Bodart A. (G) 42. Boussadia S. 14. Broholm M. 35. Diaoune S. 9. Giroud O. 18. Mbemba Ch. 15. Perraud R. 22. Santos T.
Coaches
Haise F.	Genesio B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Fernandez-Pardo M. ⚽, Ngoy N. (A),
16', Bentaleb N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 0 - 2, Haraldsson H. ⚽, Fernandez-Pardo M. (A),
59', 1 - 2, Lepaul E. ⚽,
65', Nagida M. 🟨,
70', Tamari M. ↓, Szymanski S. ↑,
70', Nagida M. ↓, Frankowski P. ↑,
71', Nordin A. ↓, Embolo B. ↑,
71', Ozer B. 🟨,
73', Mandi A. 🟨,
74', Mukau N. ↓, Perraud R. ↑,
81', Blas L. ↓, Zabiri Y. ↑,
84', Frankowski P. 🟨,
85', Correia F. 🟨,
85', Correia F. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
85', Verdonk C. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
87', Rouault A. ↓, Ait Boudlal A. ↑,
89', Haraldsson H. ↓, Alexsandro ↑,
90+3', Ngoy N. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 1.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Lille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rennes could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Rennes: Jacquet J. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Lille: Igamane H. (Knee Injury) Mbappe E. (Thigh Injury) Sahraoui O. (Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Rennes: Seidu A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Lille: Andre B. (Injury) Caillard M. (Injury) Perrin G. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rennes	8	5	1	2	18:14	4	16
3	Lille	8	4	3	1	11:6	5	15

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lille: 3.71% Rennes: 2.61%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
08.03.26	Nice - Rennes	0:4 ✺
28.02.26	Rennes - Toulouse	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Auxerre - Rennes	0:3 ✺
13.02.26	Rennes - Paris Saint-Germain	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Lens - Rennes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWWWL
- OSC Lille
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Lille - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
08.03.26	Lille - Lorient	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Lille - Nantes	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.02.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lille	0:2 ET ✺
French Ligue 1
22.02.26	Angers - Lille	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
03.01.26	Lille - Rennes	0:2
16.02.25	Rennes - Lille	0:2
24.11.24	Lille - Rennes	1:0
10.03.24	Lille - Rennes	2:2
16.09.23	Rennes - Lille	2:2
04.02.23	Rennes - Lille	1:3
06.11.22	Lille - Rennes	1:1

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