Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Roazhon Park (Rennes)

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Caze TV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Italy	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 5
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter
World	Onefootball


	Rennes		Lille

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.28	3.2	3.35
	2.31	3.36	3.4
	2.23	3.22	3.4	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.1
	2.32	3.33	3.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.48)	3.27 ↓ (3.35)	3.36 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rennes
42.3%

Draw
29.2%

Lille
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28.2%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

30.2%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	20.4%	13%

Rennes - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 36 - 66.7%). Lille will win (votes: 7 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 20.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 54.1% – 79.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Rennes (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC - Rennes (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Rennes (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 12 - 75%). Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samba B. (G) 18. Nagida M. 24. Rouault A. 3. Brassier L. 26. Merlin Q. 10. Blas L. 21. Rongier V. (C) 45. Camara M. 11. Tamari M. 9. Lepaul E. 70. Nordin A.	1. Ozer B. (G) 12. Meunier T. 3. Ngoy N. 23. Mandi A. (C) 24. Verdonk C. 6. Bentaleb N. 32. Bouaddi A. 17. Mukau N. 10. Haraldsson H. 27. Correia F. 7. Fernandez-Pardo M.
Substitutes
48. Ait Boudlal A. 6. Cisse D. 7. Embolo B. 95. Frankowski P. 4. Kamara G. 36. Seidu A. 50. Silistrie M. (G) 17. Szymanski S. 77. Zabiri Y.	4. Alexsandro 16. Bodart A. (G) 42. Boussadia S. 14. Broholm M. 35. Diaoune S. 9. Giroud O. 18. Mbemba Ch. 15. Perraud R. 22. Santos T.
Coaches
Haise F.	Genesio B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Fernandez-Pardo M. ⚽, Ngoy N. (A),
16', Bentaleb N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 0 - 2, Haraldsson H. ⚽, Fernandez-Pardo M. (A),
59', 1 - 2, Lepaul E. ⚽,
65', Nagida M. 🟨,
70', Tamari M. ↓, Szymanski S. ↑,
70', Nagida M. ↓, Frankowski P. ↑,
71', Nordin A. ↓, Embolo B. ↑,
71', Ozer B. 🟨,
73', Mandi A. 🟨,
74', Mukau N. ↓, Perraud R. ↑,
81', Blas L. ↓, Zabiri Y. ↑,
84', Frankowski P. 🟨,
85', Correia F. 🟨,
85', Correia F. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
85', Verdonk C. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
87', Rouault A. ↓, Ait Boudlal A. ↑,
89', Haraldsson H. ↓, Alexsandro ↑,
90+3', Ngoy N. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 1.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Lille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rennes could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Rennes: Jacquet J. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Lille: Igamane H. (Knee Injury) Mbappe E. (Thigh Injury) Sahraoui O. (Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Rennes: Seidu A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Lille: Andre B. (Injury) Caillard M. (Injury) Perrin G. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lille: 4.84% Rennes: 3.66%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8:4	4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8:9	-1	10

Last Results with these Odds

Rennes - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 38.13%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
08.03.26	Nice - Rennes	0:4 ✺
28.02.26	Rennes - Toulouse	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Auxerre - Rennes	0:3 ✺
13.02.26	Rennes - Paris Saint-Germain	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Lens - Rennes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWWWL
- OSC Lille
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Lille - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
08.03.26	Lille - Lorient	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Lille - Nantes	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.02.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lille	0:2 ET ✺
French Ligue 1
22.02.26	Angers - Lille	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
03.01.26	Lille - Rennes	0:2
16.02.25	Rennes - Lille	0:2
24.11.24	Lille - Rennes	1:0
10.03.24	Lille - Rennes	2:2
16.09.23	Rennes - Lille	2:2
04.02.23	Rennes - Lille	1:3
06.11.22	Lille - Rennes	1:1

Upcoming Matches