Match Info

Coupe de France - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq)

Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 1
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free, New World TV
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV
Lithuania	Sport 1
Mexico	Totalplay, TVC Deportes
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Portugal	Sport TV6
Russia	TV Start
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360


	Lille		Lyon

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.2
	2.38	3.45	2.92
	2.34	3.51	2.98	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.8
	2.3	3.34	2.96
	2.36	3.33	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.11)	3.35 ↓ (3.43)	2.94 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lille
40.7%

Draw
27.7%

Lyon
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

27.1%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

27.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	42.1%	31.6%

Lille - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Lyon will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 42.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.9% – 64.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bodart A. (G) 2. Meunier T. 3. Ngoy N. 4. Perraud R. 5. Bouaddi A. 6. Bentaleb N. 8. Andre B. (C) 11. Correia F. 10. Haraldsson H. 7. Fernandez-Pardo M. 9. Giroud O.	1. Descamps R. (G) 2. Maitland-Niles A. 5. Mata C. 4. Kluivert R. 3. Tagliafico N. 6. Tessmann T. 7. Morton T. 8. Tolisso C. (C) 10. Sulc P. 9. Endrick 11. Moreira A.
Substitutes
14. Broholm M. 19. Diaoune S. 20. Goffi A. 15. Mbappe E. 18. Mbemba Ch. 17. Mukau N. 16. Ozer B. (G) 13. Sahraoui O. 12. Santos T.	13. Da Silva M. (G) 18. de Carvalho M. 19. Ghezzal R. 12. Greif D. (G) 14. Hateboer H. 15. Karabec A. 16. Mangala O. 17. Merah K. 20. Satriano M.
Coaches
Genesio B.	Fonseca P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Moreira A. ⚽, Descamps R. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Ngoy N. ⚽, Haraldsson H. (A),
31', Sulc P. 🟨,
32', Morton T. 🟨,
37', Haraldsson H. 🟨,
42', 1 - 2, Endrick ⚽, Tolisso C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Correia F. ↓, Mbappe E. ↑,
60', Andre B. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
63', Perraud R. 🟨,
68', Meunier T. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
72', Endrick ↓, Karabec A. ↑,
81', Giroud O. ↓, Diaoune S. ↑,
82', Bouaddi A. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
82', Sulc P. ↓, Satriano M. ↑,
82', Morton T. ↓, Mangala O. ↑,
90+1', Descamps R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 0.

Lille has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lyon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lille could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:30. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
03.01.26	Lille - Rennes	0:2 ✺
Coupe De France
20.12.25	Lusitanos Saint-Maur - Lille	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.12.25	Auxerre - Lille	3:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Young Boys - Lille	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
05.12.25	Lille - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLW
- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
03.01.26	Monaco - Lyon	1:3 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Lyon - Saint-Cyr Collonges	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.12.25	Lyon - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Lyon - Go Ahead Eagles	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
07.12.25	Lorient - Lyon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
28.09.25	Lille - Lyon	0:1
05.04.25	Lyon - Lille	2:1
01.11.24	Lille - Lyon	1:1
06.05.24	Lille - Lyon	3:4
Coupe De France
07.02.24	Lyon - Lille	2:1
French Ligue 1
26.11.23	Lyon - Lille	0:2
10.03.23	Lille - Lyon	3:3

Upcoming Matches