Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 42

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday

Location: Meadow Park (Borehamwood)


	Boreham Wood		Dagenham & Redbridge

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.38
	2.7	3.1	2.35
	2.85	3.3	2.4
	2.83	3.37	2.5
	2.83	3.37	2.51
	2.4	3.3	2.62
	2.81	3.41	2.38
	2.8	3.25	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.33)	3.31 ↓ (3.38)	2.43 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boreham Wood
33.7%

Draw
28%

Dagenham & Redbridge
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

27.5%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

28.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boreham Wood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boreham Wood's form might have worsened.

Dagenham & Redbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dagenham & Redbridge's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boreham Wood than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boreham Wood, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dagenham & Redbridge than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dagenham & Redbridge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	55.6%	44.4%

Boreham Wood - Dagenham & Redbridge Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dagenham will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ashmore N. (G) 15. Agbontohoma D. 14. Balanta A. 2. Coxe C. 12. Fyfield J. 3. Ilesanmi F. 10. Marsh T. 4. Payne J. 24. Robinson M. 19. Sousa E. 17. Tshimanga K.	1. Justham E. (C) 20. Appiah-Forson K. 5. Eastman T. 9. Effiong I. 6. Hessenthaler J. 10. Hill R. 19. Ling S. 21. Longe-King D. 15. Page L. 12. Pereira D. 8. Rees J.
Substitutes
23. Clayden C. 9. Ndlovu L. 8. Sagaf M. 22. Sass-Davies B. 7. Whelan T.	2. Hare J. 17. Kedwell H. 23. Lawless C. 18. Nkrumah D. 11. Remy S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
6', 0 - 1, Rees J. ⚽,
15', Coxe C. 🟨,
24', 0 - 2, Rees J. ⚽,
33', 0 - 3, Hill R. ⚽,
45', Tshimanga K. 🟨,
45', 0 - 4, Effiong I. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 4, Tshimanga K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Balanta A. ↓, Ndlovu L. ↑,
53', Robinson M. 🟨,
61', Sousa E. ↓, Whelan T. ↑,
72', Effiong I. ↓, Nkrumah D. ↑,
78', Hill R. ↓, Kedwell H. ↑,
88', Coxe C. ↓, Sass-Davies B. ↑,
90+1', Pereira D. ↓, Lawless C. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boreham Wood won 2.

Boreham Wood has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Dagenham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Boreham Wood won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 26-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Boreham Wood won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boreham Wood
English National League
23.03.24	Chesterfield - Boreham Wood	3:0 ✺
16.03.24	Boreham Wood - Altrincham	0:1 ✺
12.03.24	Solihull Moors - Boreham Wood	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Halifax Town - Boreham Wood	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Boreham Wood - Gateshead	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- Dagenham & Redbridge
English National League
23.03.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Oldham Athletic	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Maidenhead United	4:1 ✺
12.03.24	Gateshead - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Southend United - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Altrincham	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
24.10.23	Dagenham & Redbridge - Boreham Wood	1:3
07.04.23	Boreham Wood - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:1
25.10.22	Dagenham & Redbridge - Boreham Wood	1:1
05.04.22	Dagenham & Redbridge - Boreham Wood	0:0
09.10.21	Boreham Wood - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:0
06.03.21	Dagenham & Redbridge - Boreham Wood	2:2
10.11.20	Boreham Wood - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:1

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