The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gateshead 51.7%
Draw 24.9%
Dagenham & Redbridge 23.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.3%
24.2%
22.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
23.3%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Dagenham & Redbridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
The ML Model estimate for Dagenham & Redbridge aligns with the current prediction.
Gateshead - Dagenham & Redbridge Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Shelvey G. (G) 42. Akinola T. 8. Booty R. 19. Hannant L. 3. Haunstrup B. 15. Humbles L. 45. Malcolm J. 23. Newton T. 5. Richardson K. 16. Robson E. 2. Tinkler R.
35. Turner J. (G) 20. Harrack K. 4. Hessenthaler J. 10. Hill R. 30. Kalambayi P. 11. N'Guessan C. 6. Phipps H. 8. Rees J. 21. Rutherford O. 9. Umerah J. 29. Wyllie M.
Substitutes
6. Bartley R. 13. Bond H. (G) 18. Grayson J. 44. Johnson B. 29. Nouble F. 27. Sellars-Fleming T. 11. Worman B.
24. Clayton R. 17. Grego-Cox R. 12. Harvey N. (G) 28. Khaleel R. 23. Lawless C. 15. Loupalo-Bi A. 16. Remy S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Akinola T. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Robson E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Harrack K. ↓, Grego-Cox R. ↑,
55', Umerah J. 🟨,
59', Hessenthaler J. ↓, Lawless C. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Rees J. ⚽,
64', Haunstrup B. ↓, Grayson J. ↑,
65', Akinola T. ↓, Johnson B. ↑,
65', Malcolm J. ↓, Sellars-Fleming T. ↑,
67', Wyllie M. ↓, Loupalo-Bi A. ↑,
70', Tinkler R. 🟨,
77', Robson E. ↓, Worman B. ↑,
87', Newton T. ↓, Nouble F. ↑,
88', N'Guessan C. ↓, Khaleel R. ↑,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 20).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gateshead won 3.
Gateshead has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Dagenham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Gateshead is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Dagenham to win the game is with odds 4.09.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Gateshead won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22:14 (average 2:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Gateshead won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:0 (average 1.4:0).