The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dagenham & Redbridge 23.8%
Draw 26.3%
Oldham Athletic 49.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
26.4%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.5%
26.1%
38.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dagenham & Redbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dagenham & Redbridge's form might have worsened.
Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oldham Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dagenham & Redbridge than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dagenham & Redbridge, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Oldham will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Jones L. (G) 5. Eastman T. 2. Francis C. 4. Hessenthaler J. 10. Hill R. 15. Loupalo-Bi A. 11. N'Guessan C. 7. Pereira D. 8. Rees J. (C) 17. Rendall T. 21. Rutherford O.
31. Donaghy T. (G) 20. Caprice J. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 3. Kitching M. 34. Leake J. 4. Pett T. 29. Pritchard J. 16. Raglan C. (C) 21. Sutton W. 18. Waters B. 22. Worthington M.
Substitutes
22. Day H. 12. Harvey N. (G) 28. Khaleel R. 23. Lawless C. 16. Remy S.
13. Dennis J. (G) 27. Hammond O. 5. Hobson S. 11. Kay J. 8. Lundstram J. 15. Rossiter J. 28. Yoganathan V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Loupalo-Bi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Pereira D. ↓, Remy S. ↑,
46', Waters B. ↓, Rossiter J. ↑,
46', Sutton W. ↓, Kay J. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Fondop-Talum M. ⚽, Pritchard J. (A),
63', Hill R. 🟨,
67', 2 - 1, Hill R. (Pen),
68', Kitching M. ↓, Hobson S. ↑,
75', Worthington M. ↓, Lundstram J. ↑,
87', Hill R. ↓, Khaleel R. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Pritchard J. ⚽, Lundstram J. (A),
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 17 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Dagenham is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Oldham is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Dagenham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Oldham will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Dagenham won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.8:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Dagenham won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Dagenham & Redbridge - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.01%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Oldham Athletic - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.56%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.