Match Info

National League - Round 26

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Meadow Park (Borehamwood)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	DAZN USA
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	Boreham Wood		York City

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.7	2.15
	2.8	3.5	2.05
	2.88	3.6	2.18
	3.11	3.69	2.18
	2.83	3.83	2.19	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.2
	2.95	3.52	2.1
	2.5	3.66	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.38)	3.61 ↓ (3.63)	2.19 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boreham Wood
32.4%

Draw
25.5%

York City
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

25.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

25.7%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boreham Wood has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boreham Wood's form might have worsened.

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting York City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boreham Wood than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boreham Wood, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for York City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Boreham Wood - York City Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. York will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Boreham Wood (votes: 1 - 33.3%). York (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - York (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Boreham Wood (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - York (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Boreham Wood (votes: 3 - 42.9%). York (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Curd T. (G) 2. Coxe C. 6. O'Connell C. 5. Bush Ch. (C) 3. Ilesanmi F. 21. Marshall-Miranda M. 23. Booty R. 20. Richardson L. 8. Brunt Z. 10. Abdulmalik A. 32. Rush M.	1. Male H. (G) 15. King J. 27. Williams M. 29. Johnson Z. 3. Kitching M. 8. Hunt A. 21. Boateng H. 14. Brookes B. 12. Grey J. 9. Stones J. 10. Pearce O. (C)
Substitutes
11. Ayinde L. 17. Clayden C. 14. Henry A. 12. Newton J. 4. Payne J. 24. Robinson J. 19. White T.	28. Banks O. 18. Batty D. 4. Fagan-Walcott M. 17. Hewitt C. 5. Howe C. 30. Newby A. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Pearce O. ⚽, Johnson Z. (A),
45+2', Stones J. 🟨,
45+4', Williams M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Richardson L. ⚽, Brunt Z. (A),
53', Grey J. 🟨,
56', Ilesanmi F. 🟨,
61', Stones J. 🟨,
66', Brookes B. ↓, Fagan-Walcott M. ↑,
66', Hunt A. ↓, Batty D. ↑,
66', King J. ↓, Banks O. ↑,
71', Grey J. ↓, Newby A. ↑,
75', Richardson L. ↓, Ayinde L. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Coxe C. ⚽, Brunt Z. (A),
82', Marshall-Miranda M. 🟨,
84', Ilesanmi F. ↓, Newton J. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, O'Connell C. ⚽, Booty R. (A),
89', Pearce O. ↓, Hewitt C. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 2, Banks O. ⚽,
90+4', Coxe C. 🟨,
90+5', Brunt Z. ↓, White T. ↑,
90+5', Abdulmalik A. ↓, Clayden C. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boreham Wood won 0.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Recently, Boreham Wood has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Boreham Wood won 0 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Boreham Wood won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Outrights of English National League for now

Boreham Wood: 61.85%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	12	10	2	0	32:13	19	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boreham Wood
English National League
28.02.26	Tamworth - Boreham Wood	3:2 ✺
24.02.26	Southend United - Boreham Wood	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Boreham Wood - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
English National League Cup
17.02.26	Boreham Wood - Truro City	2:0 ✺
English National League
14.02.26	Eastleigh - Boreham Wood	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWTWT
- York City
English National League
28.02.26	Morecambe - York City	0:1 ✺
24.02.26	Scunthorpe United - York City	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	York City - Halifax Town	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	Wealdstone - York City	0:3 ✺
11.02.26	York City - Hartlepool United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
21.10.25	York City - Boreham Wood	2:2
07.01.24	Boreham Wood - York City	1:1
09.09.23	York City - Boreham Wood	2:2
21.02.23	York City - Boreham Wood	1:1
08.11.22	Boreham Wood - York City	1:1
18.02.17	Boreham Wood - York City	1:1
13.08.16	York City - Boreham Wood	1:1

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