The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Scunthorpe United 23.7%
Draw 23.5%
York City 52.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.4%
24.9%
48.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.1%
24.6%
49.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Scunthorpe United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scunthorpe United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
Scunthorpe United - York City Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. York will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for York: 45% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. York (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
38. Mahady R. (G) 3. Horton B. 6. Boyce A. (C) 14. Ubaezuonu C. 21. Starbuck J. 11. Rowley J. 10. Roberts C. 25. Westbrooke Z. 8. Beestin A. 33. Denton T. 9. Whitehall D.
1. Male H. (G) 15. King J. 27. Williams M. 29. Johnson Z. 3. Kitching M. 14. Brookes B. 21. Boateng H. 8. Hunt A. 12. Grey J. 9. Stones J. 10. Pearce O. (C)
Substitutes
16. Dausch A. 5. Evans W. 17. Ewing O. 23. Hurst K. 12. Jones L. (G) 24. Shipstone H. 32. Smith C.
28. Banks O. 18. Batty D. 4. Fagan-Walcott M. 17. Hewitt C. 5. Howe C. 30. Newby A. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Stones J. ⚽, Boateng H. (A),
28', Male H. 🟨,
29', 0 - 2, Grey J. ⚽, Brookes B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Williams M. 🟨,
54', Denton T. 🟨,
56', Beestin A. 🟨,
56', Hunt A. 🟨,
71', 0 - 3, Stones J. ⚽,
73', Westbrooke Z. ↓, Ewing O. ↑,
73', Whitehall D. ↓, Dausch A. ↑,
73', Beestin A. ↓, Hurst K. ↑,
73', Roberts C. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
80', Williams M. ↓, Banks O. ↑,
80', Hunt A. ↓, Fagan-Walcott M. ↑,
80', Brookes B. ↓, Batty D. ↑,
80', Grey J. ↓, Newby A. ↑,
84', Stones J. ↓, Hewitt C. ↑,
84', Rowley J. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Scunthorpe won 1.
Scunthorpe has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
York is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
York may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
York is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Scunthorpe won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Scunthorpe won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
22
Scunthorpe
12
3
1
8
15:21
-6
10
Last Results with these Odds
York City - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 48.72%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.