Match Info

National League - Round 32

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: York Community Stadium (York)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Ukraine	DAZN
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Usa	DAZN USA
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Vietnam	DAZN


	York City		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.25	11
	1.23	5.9	9.8
	1.21	6.51	11.53
	1.23	6.2	10.3	Watch
	1.22	5.75	10
	1.19	5.8	11.2
	1.23	6	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.36)	5.92 ↑ (4.83)	10.69 ↑ (6.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

York City
75.8%

Draw
15.6%

Hartlepool United
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

19.1%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

18.1%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in York City's performance.

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

York City - Hartlepool United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. York (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: York City will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Male H. (G) 15. King J. 27. Williams M. 29. Johnson Z. 3. Kitching M. 8. Hunt A. 21. Boateng H. 30. Newby A. 12. Grey J. 9. Stones J. 10. Pearce O.	23. Hayes N. (G) 6. McNally R. 5. Kouogun M. 2. Benn J. 14. Sheron N. 28. Daly M. 18. Miley J. 15. Hunter J. 19. Reid A. 10. Campbell A. 11. Charman L.
Substitutes
28. Banks O. 18. Batty D. 14. Brookes B. 2. Fallowfield R. 5. Howe C. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)	24. Brown P. 8. Ferguson N. 17. Folarin S. 7. Holohan G. 9. Johnson D. 40. Smith A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Newby A. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, McNally R. ⚽, Miley J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', Sheron N. 🟨,
67', Grey J. ↓, Banks O. ↑,
72', Reid A. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
77', King J. ↓, Brookes B. ↑,
77', Hunt A. ↓, Batty D. ↑,
79', Charman L. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Boateng H. ⚽, Banks O. (A),
87', Newby A. ↓, Fallowfield R. ↑,
88', Pearce O. ↓, Nathaniel-George A. ↑,
88', Benn J. ↓, Brown P. ↑,
88', Hunter J. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
89', Campbell A. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
90+6', Stones J. 🟨,
90+7', Brookes B. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 2, Caton C. ⚽,
90+13', 3 - 2, Stones J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+14', Fallowfield R. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, York won 3.

York has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hartlepool has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, York is the obvious favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, York won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, York won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Hartlepool	13	4	0	9	12:19	-7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- York City
English National League
07.02.26	York City - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Solihull Moors - York City	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	York City - Braintree Town	5:0 ✺
21.01.26	Carlisle United - York City	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	York City - Southend United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWT
- Hartlepool United
English National League
07.02.26	Tamworth - Hartlepool United	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Hartlepool United - Aldershot Town	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	Brackley Town - Hartlepool United	0:0 ✺
20.01.26	Hartlepool United - Gateshead	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Hartlepool United - Altrincham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
04.10.25	Hartlepool United - York City	1:2
01.03.25	Hartlepool United - York City	0:1
09.11.24	York City - Hartlepool United	5:3
27.01.24	Hartlepool United - York City	2:1
18.11.23	York City - Hartlepool United	1:3
Club Friendly
17.07.19	York City - Hartlepool United	2:1
English League Two
16.04.16	Hartlepool United - York City	2:1

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